Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Central Stadium, Chelyabinsk
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chelyabinsk host Shinnik Yaroslavl in the FNL. Little to choose between these two on current form. Shinnik Yaroslavl have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Chelyabinsk have conceded 1.54 and scored 1.11. Past meetings favor Shinnik Yaroslavl slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.25 - 1.06) back Shinnik Yaroslavl to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Chelyabinsk
30%
Draws
29%
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chelyabinsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shinnik Yaroslavl come out ahead of Chelyabinsk on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Chelyabinsk's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Chelyabinsk Clean Sheet 20%
Shinnik Yaroslavl Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelyabinsk Shinnik Yaroslavl
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 9
Draws 9 16
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 1.11 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.54 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 FNL
Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
2:2
Nov 1, 2025 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Chelyabinsk
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelyabinsk 40 / 100
Shinnik Yaroslavl 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelyabinsk Shinnik Yaroslavl

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelyabinsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chelyabinsk found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Chelyabinsk stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Shinnik Yaroslavl conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Chelyabinsk VS Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelyabinsk

(Home)
18 Oct
Tekstilshtik
2 : 1
Chelyabinsk
13 Oct
S. Kostroma
1 : 0
Chelyabinsk
09 Oct
Neftekhimik
2 : 4
Chelyabinsk
26 Sept
Chelyabinsk
1 : 1
Yenisey
18 Sept
Chelyabinsk
2 : 1
Ufa
Page 1 of 6

Shinnik Yaroslavl

(Away)
18 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
14 Oct
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
4 : 0
Shinnik Yaroslavl
10 Oct
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0
Tekstilshtik
27 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 0
SKA Khabarovsk
18 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 1
Kamaz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 14 12 1 1 43:15 37
2 PFC Sochi 14 9 2 3 23:14 29
3 Torpedo Moscow 14 8 3 3 26:11 27
4 Veles Moscow 15 8 3 4 20:18 27
5 S. Kostroma 14 8 3 3 20:13 27
6 Ural 14 7 4 3 22:10 25
7 Ufa 14 5 6 3 18:14 21
8 Shinnik Yaroslavl 14 4 8 2 18:14 20
9 R. Volgograd 14 5 3 6 22:17 18
10 Ulyanovsk 15 5 3 7 20:22 18
11 Arsenal Tula 14 4 4 6 15:26 16
12 Chelyabinsk 14 4 3 7 18:23 15
13 Yenisey 14 3 5 6 16:27 14
14 Kamaz 14 3 4 7 16:23 13
15 Leningradets 14 3 4 7 11:25 13
16 Neftekhimik 14 4 0 10 10:21 12
17 Tekstilshtik 14 2 4 8 10:22 10
18 SKA Khabarovsk 14 1 4 9 15:28 7
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)