Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chelyabinsk vs Ural

Russia Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Central Stadium, Chelyabinsk
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Zheleznov Y.
32' Event
Mamin A.
37'
Akbashev R.

AI Match Summary

Ural in this FNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ural.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Chelyabinsk
20%
Draws
63%
Ural
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ural

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Ural have won more games recently than Chelyabinsk.
  • Win probability leans Ural's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Ural here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Chelyabinsk Clean Sheet 19%
Ural Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelyabinsk Ural
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.18 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.82 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Ural vs Chelyabinsk
1:1
Jun 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Ural vs Chelyabinsk
3:0
Apr 26, 2026 FNL
Chelyabinsk vs Ural
1:2
Nov 5, 2025 FNL
Ural vs Chelyabinsk
1:0
Sep 21, 2016 Russian Cup
Chelyabinsk vs Ural
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chelyabinsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Levin G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ural Compare

Top Goalscorer Mamin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelyabinsk 10 / 100
Ural 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelyabinsk Ural

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ural Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chelyabinsk found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Ural conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Chelyabinsk has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chelyabinsk VS Ural
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelyabinsk

(Home)
15 Aug
Chelyabinsk
0 : 4
Torpedo Moscow
09 Aug
R. Volgograd
4 : 1
Chelyabinsk
02 Aug
Ulyanovsk
0 : 2
Chelyabinsk
25 Jul
Chelyabinsk
1 : 2
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
19 Jul
Veles Moscow
1 : 0
Chelyabinsk
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Ural

(Away)
14 Aug
R. Volgograd
1 : 1
Ural
08 Aug
Ural
3 : 0
Ufa
02 Aug
SKA Khabarovsk
0 : 3
Ural
26 Jul
Leningradets
0 : 0
Ural
19 Jul
Ural
3 : 0
Yenisey
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 34 19 11 4 58:28 68
2 Fakel Voronezh 34 20 8 6 44:22 68
3 Ural 34 18 7 9 51:31 61
4 R. Volgograd 34 15 11 8 47:26 56
5 Kamaz 34 12 13 9 46:34 49
6 Yenisey 34 13 10 11 37:35 49
7 S. Kostroma 34 12 13 9 46:41 49
8 Shinnik Yaroslavl 34 11 15 8 34:28 48
9 Torpedo Moscow 34 12 10 12 37:39 46
10 Chelyabinsk 34 10 14 10 42:40 44
11 Neftekhimik 34 10 13 11 40:41 43
12 SKA Khabarovsk 34 10 12 12 37:45 42
13 Arsenal Tula 34 8 15 11 42:44 39
14 Ulyanovsk 34 9 10 15 35:48 37
15 Ufa 34 9 10 15 32:40 37
16 Chernomorets Novorossijsk 34 9 8 17 37:49 35
17 Saratov 34 5 11 18 16:44 26
18 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 34 5 7 22 30:76 22
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