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Chelyabinsk vs Veles Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Central Stadium, Chelyabinsk
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chelyabinsk host Veles Moscow in the FNL. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Chelyabinsk at 1.14 goals for, 1.61 against; Veles Moscow at 1.14 for, 1.21 against. Head-to-head, Chelyabinsk have won 2 to Veles Moscow's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 19, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.31 - 1.00) back Veles Moscow to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Chelyabinsk
30%
Draws
39%
Veles Moscow
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Veles Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Veles Moscow come out ahead of Chelyabinsk on wins alone.
  • Chelyabinsk are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Chelyabinsk Clean Sheet 20%
Veles Moscow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelyabinsk Veles Moscow
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 FNL
Veles Moscow vs Chelyabinsk
1:0
Jun 8, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Veles Moscow vs Chelyabinsk
2:1
Apr 23, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Chelyabinsk vs Veles Moscow
3:1
Nov 10, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Chelyabinsk vs Veles Moscow
1:3
Sep 15, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Veles Moscow vs Chelyabinsk
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelyabinsk 36 / 100
Veles Moscow 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelyabinsk Veles Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Chelyabinsk scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Veles Moscow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Chelyabinsk stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chelyabinsk VS Veles Moscow
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelyabinsk

(Home)
25 Oct
Chelyabinsk
1 : 3
Ural
18 Oct
Tekstilshtik
2 : 1
Chelyabinsk
13 Oct
S. Kostroma
1 : 0
Chelyabinsk
09 Oct
Neftekhimik
2 : 4
Chelyabinsk
26 Sept
Chelyabinsk
1 : 1
Yenisey
Page 1 of 6

Veles Moscow

(Away)
25 Oct
Ulyanovsk
1 : 0
Veles Moscow
18 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
10 Oct
Ural
1 : 2
Veles Moscow
04 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 2
Ulyanovsk
17 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1
Veles Moscow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 15 13 1 1 44:15 40
2 PFC Sochi 15 10 2 3 26:15 32
3 Torpedo Moscow 15 8 4 3 27:12 28
4 Ural 15 8 4 3 25:11 28
5 S. Kostroma 15 8 3 4 21:15 27
6 Veles Moscow 16 8 3 5 20:19 27
7 Shinnik Yaroslavl 15 5 8 2 20:15 23
8 Ulyanovsk 16 6 3 7 21:22 21
9 Ufa 15 5 6 4 18:15 21
10 Arsenal Tula 15 5 4 6 19:29 19
11 R. Volgograd 15 5 4 6 23:18 19
12 Chelyabinsk 15 4 3 8 19:26 15
13 Yenisey 15 3 5 7 16:30 14
14 Leningradets 15 3 5 7 12:26 14
15 Kamaz 15 3 4 8 19:27 13
16 Neftekhimik 15 4 1 10 11:22 13
17 SKA Khabarovsk 15 2 4 9 18:28 10
18 Tekstilshtik 15 2 4 9 11:25 10
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