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Stadium Background

Chelyabinsk vs Yenisey - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Central Stadium, Chelyabinsk
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Sub
Batyrev A. In: Pechura R.
Out: Batyrev A.
23' Event
Ivanov E.
37'
Sub
Pokotylo D. In: Safronov I.
Out: Pokotylo D.

AI Match Summary

The FNL game between Chelyabinsk and Yenisey finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Chelyabinsk
30%
Draws
33%
Yenisey
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chelyabinsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Yenisey come out ahead of Chelyabinsk on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Chelyabinsk's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Chelyabinsk Clean Sheet 68%
Yenisey Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelyabinsk Yenisey
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 5 13
Draws 10 9
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 FNL
Chelyabinsk vs Yenisey
1:1
Apr 17, 2026 FNL
Yenisey vs Chelyabinsk
3:0
Oct 6, 2025 FNL
Chelyabinsk vs Yenisey
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chelyabinsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Urvantsev M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Yenisey Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelyabinsk 68 / 100
Yenisey 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelyabinsk Yenisey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelyabinsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chelyabinsk found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Yenisey's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Chelyabinsk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chelyabinsk VS Yenisey
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelyabinsk

(Home)
26 Sept
Chelyabinsk
1 : 1
Yenisey
18 Sept
Chelyabinsk
2 : 1
Ufa
14 Sept
Kamaz
1 : 1
Chelyabinsk
10 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
0 : 2
Chelyabinsk
05 Sept
Chelyabinsk
0 : 1
S. Kostroma
Page 1 of 6

Yenisey

(Away)
26 Sept
Chelyabinsk
1 : 1
Yenisey
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
13 Sept
R. Volgograd
4 : 0
Yenisey
09 Sept
Maykop
1 : 2
Yenisey
05 Sept
Yenisey
0 : 2
Neftekhimik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 12 10 1 1 36:14 31
2 Ural 12 7 4 1 20:6 25
3 S. Kostroma 12 7 3 2 16:10 24
4 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
5 Veles Moscow 13 7 2 4 17:16 23
6 Torpedo Moscow 12 6 3 3 21:9 21
7 Ufa 12 4 6 2 16:13 18
8 R. Volgograd 12 5 2 5 20:14 17
9 Shinnik Yaroslavl 12 3 7 2 15:13 16
10 Yenisey 12 3 5 4 15:20 14
11 Ulyanovsk 13 4 2 7 16:19 14
12 Arsenal Tula 12 3 4 5 12:22 13
13 Leningradets 12 3 4 5 10:20 13
14 Neftekhimik 12 4 0 8 7:15 12
15 Chelyabinsk 12 3 3 6 13:19 12
16 Kamaz 12 2 3 7 11:19 9
17 Tekstilshtik 12 1 4 7 8:19 7
18 SKA Khabarovsk 12 1 3 8 11:23 6
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