Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chemal vs Kaedi

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Chemal Logo

Chemal

2 - 0
FT
Kaedi Logo

Kaedi

Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
29' Event
40'
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chemal in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chemal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Chemal
20%
Draws
33%
Kaedi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chemal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chemal lately — more wins on the board than Kaedi.
  • Model gives Chemal a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kaedi have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Chemal Clean Sheet 68%
Kaedi Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemal Kaedi
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.37 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2026 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Kaedi
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Chemal
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Chemal
1:0
Dec 14, 2024 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Kaedi
0:1
Apr 27, 2024 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Chemal
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemal 77 / 100
Kaedi 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemal Kaedi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chemal scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Kaedi has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Chemal remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chemal VS Kaedi
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemal

(Home)
25 May
Chemal
1 : 0
Pompiers
16 May
Inter Nouakchott
3 : 5
Chemal
12 May
Chemal
3 : 4
Nouakchott King's
03 May
Police
0 : 1
Chemal
11 Apr
Chemal
1 : 1
Douane
Page 1 of 6

Kaedi

(Away)
23 May
Nouakchott King's
2 : 0
Kaedi
20 May
Police
0 : 1
Kaedi
09 May
Kaedi
1 : 1
Douane
04 May
Ksar
0 : 1
Kaedi
29 Apr
Kaedi
2 : 4
Tevragh-Zeina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)