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Chemal vs Pompiers

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Chemal Logo

Chemal

1 - 0
FT
Pompiers Logo

Pompiers

Our Tip

Match Events

26'
71' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Chemal and Pompiers finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chemal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Chemal
30%
Draws
31%
Pompiers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chemal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Chemal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chemal a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Chemal Clean Sheet 18%
Pompiers Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemal Pompiers
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 12
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.37 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Pompiers
1:0
Jan 12, 2026 Ligue 1
Pompiers vs Chemal
1:2
May 27, 2025 Ligue 1
Pompiers vs Chemal
1:2
Jan 22, 2025 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Pompiers
1:1
May 26, 2024 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Pompiers
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemal 41 / 100
Pompiers 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemal Pompiers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chemal scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Pompiers conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Chemal remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chemal VS Pompiers
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemal

(Home)
25 May
Chemal
1 : 0
Pompiers
16 May
Inter Nouakchott
3 : 5
Chemal
12 May
Chemal
3 : 4
Nouakchott King's
03 May
Police
0 : 1
Chemal
11 Apr
Chemal
1 : 1
Douane
Page 1 of 6

Pompiers

(Away)
25 May
Chemal
1 : 0
Pompiers
18 May
Pompiers
0 : 0
Nouakchott Academy
11 May
SNIM
0 : 1
Pompiers
05 May
Tevragh-Zeina
1 : 1
Pompiers
09 Apr
Pompiers
3 : 1
Inter Nouakchott
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)