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Chemie Leipzig vs Hertha Berlin II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
2 - 0
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Reincke W.
67'
70' Event
Sanogo M.

AI Match Summary

Chemie Leipzig host Hertha Berlin II in the Regionalliga Nordost. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Chemie Leipzig at 1.5 goals for, 1.46 against; Hertha Berlin II at 0.92 for, 1.73 against. Past meetings favor Chemie Leipzig slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 25, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.31, favoring Chemie Leipzig. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Chemie Leipzig
30%
Draws
29%
Hertha Berlin II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chemie Leipzig

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Hertha Berlin II haven't matched Chemie Leipzig's recent run of results.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chemie Leipzig have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Chemie Leipzig Clean Sheet 18%
Hertha Berlin II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemie Leipzig Hertha Berlin II
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 11 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.5 0.92
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemie Leipzig vs Hertha Berlin II
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Hertha Berlin II vs Chemie Leipzig
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemie Leipzig vs Hertha Berlin II
3:1
May 4, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemie Leipzig vs Hertha Berlin II
2:2
Nov 9, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Hertha Berlin II vs Chemie Leipzig
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chemie Leipzig Compare

Top Goalscorer Reincke W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanogo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Hertha Berlin II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemie Leipzig 32 / 100
Hertha Berlin II 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemie Leipzig Hertha Berlin II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hertha Berlin II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hertha Berlin II conceded in 85% of 26 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Chemie Leipzig scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Chemie Leipzig has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chemie Leipzig VS Hertha Berlin II
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemie Leipzig

(Home)
17 Oct
Lokomotive Leipzig
2 : 2
Chemie Leipzig
09 Oct
Chemie Leipzig
1 : 3
Luckenwalde
27 Sept
Aue
1 : 2
Chemie Leipzig
20 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
1 : 3
Chemnitzer
16 Sept
SV Tasmania Berlin
2 : 5
Chemie Leipzig
Page 1 of 6

Hertha Berlin II

(Away)
16 Oct
Hertha Berlin II
0 : 1
Rsv Eintracht
10 Oct
BFC Preussen
1 : 1
Hertha Berlin II
27 Sept
Hertha Berlin II
1 : 1
Zwickau
19 Sept
Babelsberg
0 : 2
Hertha Berlin II
15 Sept
Hertha Berlin II
1 : 2
Erfurt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 14 9 4 1 42:18 31
2 Chemnitzer 14 9 3 2 30:9 30
3 Hallescher 13 8 4 1 20:9 28
4 Altglienicke 14 8 3 3 26:17 27
5 Jena 14 8 2 4 23:12 26
6 BFC Dynamo 14 7 5 2 22:13 26
7 Aue 14 7 3 4 23:18 24
8 Greifswalder FC 14 6 4 4 28:23 22
9 Magdeburg II 14 6 1 7 27:28 19
10 Zwickau 14 5 4 5 17:22 19
11 Lokomotive Leipzig 13 4 5 4 25:25 17
12 Babelsberg 14 4 4 6 15:23 16
13 BFC Preussen 14 2 5 7 16:22 11
14 SV Tasmania Berlin 14 3 2 9 21:39 11
15 Chemie Leipzig 13 2 4 7 15:22 10
16 Hertha Berlin II 13 2 4 7 10:23 10
17 Rsv Eintracht 14 2 3 9 15:32 9
18 Luckenwalde 14 2 0 12 14:34 6
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)