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Chemie Leipzig vs Hertha Zehlendorf

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Ratifo S.
31' Event
Seidemann K.
49' Event
Jones N.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 game between Chemie Leipzig and Hertha Zehlendorf finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chemie Leipzig.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Chemie Leipzig
6%
Draws
4%
Hertha Zehlendorf
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chemie Leipzig

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Hertha Zehlendorf haven't matched Chemie Leipzig's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Chemie Leipzig's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Chemie Leipzig have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Chemie Leipzig Clean Sheet 20%
Hertha Zehlendorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemie Leipzig Hertha Zehlendorf
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 3
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 2.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemie Leipzig vs Hertha Zehlendorf
4:2
Apr 7, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Hertha Zehlendorf vs Chemie Leipzig
0:5
Mar 5, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemie Leipzig vs Hertha Zehlendorf
3:1
Aug 25, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Hertha Zehlendorf vs Chemie Leipzig
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chemie Leipzig Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoffmann J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ratifo S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Hertha Zehlendorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Jones N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gunay D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemie Leipzig 85 / 100
Hertha Zehlendorf 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemie Leipzig Hertha Zehlendorf

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chemie Leipzig scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Hertha Zehlendorf let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Hertha Zehlendorf has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chemie Leipzig VS Hertha Zehlendorf
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lokomotive Leipzig34233865:3072
2Jena34226665:3572
3Zwickau34197852:4464
4Hallescher34196963:3663
5Erfurt341710768:4761
6Altglienicke341411950:4053
7Chemnitzer341491156:5251
8BFC Preussen341481250:5550
9Magdeburg II341541561:5549
10Luckenwalde3411101336:4543
11Babelsberg341181567:6541
12BFC Dynamo3410101445:5040
13Chemie Leipzig341241843:4940
14Hertha Berlin II341171646:6040
15Greifswalder FC349111440:4538
16Meuselwitz34891744:6133
17Eilenburg344111935:6823
18Hertha Zehlendorf34282430:7914