Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chemie Leipzig W vs Freiburg-St. Georgen W

Germany Germany

DFB Pokal Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Bianchi J.
14' Event
Schneider L.
20' Event
Kniza J.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Chemie Leipzig W in this DFB Pokal Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Chemie Leipzig W
25%
Draws
35%
Freiburg-St. Georgen W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Chemie Leipzig W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chemie Leipzig W lately — more wins on the board than Freiburg-St. Georgen W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Chemie Leipzig W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Chemie Leipzig W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 100%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 100%
Over 3.5 Goals 100%
Over 4.5 Goals 45%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Chemie Leipzig W Clean Sheet 20%
Freiburg-St. Georgen W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemie Leipzig W Freiburg-St. Georgen W
Matches Played 2 1
Wins 1 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 1 1
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 3.5 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 DFB Pokal Women
Chemie Leipzig W vs Freiburg-St. Georgen W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chemie Leipzig W Compare

Top Goalscorer Schneider L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hullmann L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Freiburg-St. Georgen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bianchi J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemie Leipzig W 36 / 100
Freiburg-St. Georgen W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemie Leipzig W Freiburg-St. Georgen W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freiburg-St. Georgen W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freiburg-St. Georgen W has conceded goals in 100% of their last 1 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Chemie Leipzig W scored in 50% of their last 2 games.

Recent resilience: Chemie Leipzig W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chemie Leipzig W VS Freiburg-St. Georgen W
1.5 Goals Scored 2
3.5 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemie Leipzig W

(Home)
28 Sept
Chemie Leipzig W
0 : 5
Carl Zeiss Jena W
16 Aug
Chemie Leipzig W
3 : 2
Freiburg-St. Georgen W

Freiburg-St. Georgen W

(Away)
16 Aug
Chemie Leipzig W
3 : 2
Freiburg-St. Georgen W

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
VfB Stuttgart W 0
Mainz W 2
TBD -
Union Berlin W -
Chemie Leipzig W 3
Freiburg-St. Georgen W 2
TBD -
Carl Zeiss Jena W -
Holstein Kiel W 0
Meppen W 1
TBD -
SC Sand W -
Neubrandenburg W 0
VfR Warbeyen W 8
TBD -
Koln W -
FSV Babelsberg W 1
Buntentor W 2
TBD -
Wolfsburg W -
Borussia Pankow W 0
Hannover W 6
TBD -
Freiburg W -
Weinberg W 2
Greuther Furth W 3
TBD -
Hoffenheim W -
Viktoria Berlin W 2
Bochum W 1
TBD -
Eintracht Frankfurt W -
Gutersloh W 0
Magdeburg W 2
TBD -
Hamburger W -
Elversberg W 2
Fortuna Koln W 1
TBD -
Bayer Leverkusen W -
Saalfeld Titans W 0
Ingolstadt W 23
TBD -
1.FC Nurnberg W -
Dortmund W 3
B. Monchengladbach W 1
TBD -
Bayern Munich W -
Montabaur W 3
Siegelbach W 0
TBD -
Potsdam W -
VfL Herrenberg W 0
Kickers Offenbach W 2
TBD -
SGS Essen W -
Karlsruher W 0
Andernach W 4
TBD -
RB Leipzig W -
Solingen-Aufderhohe W 0
SC Victoria Hamburg W 6
TBD -
Werder Bremen W -
1/16-finals
Mainz W 0
Union Berlin W 2
Chemie Leipzig W 0
Carl Zeiss Jena W 5
Meppen W 0
SC Sand W 3
VfR Warbeyen W 0
Koln W 6
Buntentor W 0
Wolfsburg W 11
Hannover W 0
Freiburg W 4
Greuther Furth W 1
Hoffenheim W 2
Viktoria Berlin W 1
Eintracht Frankfurt W 3
Magdeburg W 0
Hamburger W 3
Elversberg W 0
Bayer Leverkusen W 5
Ingolstadt W 3
1.FC Nurnberg W 2
Dortmund W 0
Bayern Munich W 2
Montabaur W 0
Potsdam W 3
Kickers Offenbach W 0
SGS Essen W 7
Andernach W 0
RB Leipzig W 7
SC Victoria Hamburg W 0
Werder Bremen W 7
1/8-finals
Union Berlin W 0
Carl Zeiss Jena W 1
SC Sand W 3
Koln W 2
Wolfsburg W 3
Freiburg W 1
Hoffenheim W 4
Eintracht Frankfurt W 6
Hamburger W 2
Bayer Leverkusen W 1
Ingolstadt W 0
Bayern Munich W 3
Potsdam W 0
SGS Essen W 1
RB Leipzig W 1
Werder Bremen W 2
Quarter-finals
Carl Zeiss Jena W 4
SC Sand W 1
Wolfsburg W 1
Eintracht Frankfurt W 0
Hamburger W 0
Bayern Munich W 3
SGS Essen W 1
Werder Bremen W 0
Semi-finals
Carl Zeiss Jena W 0
Wolfsburg W 1
Bayern Munich W 4
SGS Essen W 0
Final
Wolfsburg W 0
Bayern Munich W 4