Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group II 2018/2019

Chemik Bydgoszcz

1 - 0

Jarocin

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chemik Bydgoszcz in this III Liga - Group II 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chemik Bydgoszcz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Chemik Bydgoszcz

20%

Draws

38%

Jarocin

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chemik Bydgoszcz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Chemik Bydgoszcz lately — more wins on the board than Jarocin.
Chemik Bydgoszcz are the model's pick here, at 42%.
Regular III Liga - Group II 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

Chemik Bydgoszcz Clean Sheet 10%

Jarocin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chemik Bydgoszcz	Jarocin
Matches Played	28	31
Wins	9	8
Draws	4	4
Losses	15	19
Goals Scored	1.63	2
Goals Conceded	2.25	2.29
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	2.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2019 III Liga - Group II

Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Jarocin

Possession: 60% - 57% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

Nov 3, 2018 III Liga - Group II

Jarocin vs Chemik Bydgoszcz

Possession: 43% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Jun 10, 2017 III Liga - Group II

Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Jarocin

Possession: 45% - 40% Cards: 2 - 2

1:5

Nov 12, 2016 III Liga - Group II

Jarocin vs Chemik Bydgoszcz

Possession: 47% - 52% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemik Bydgoszcz 40 / 100

Jarocin 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chemik Bydgoszcz Jarocin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jarocin conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Chemik Bydgoszcz scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Chemik Bydgoszcz went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chemik Bydgoszcz VS Jarocin

1.63 Goals Scored 2

2.25 Goals Conceded 2.29

75% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 86%

63% Over 3.5 57%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lech Poznan II	34	23	6	5	86:33	75
2	KKS Kalisz	34	21	6	7	70:37	69
3	Stezyca	34	21	6	7	75:37	69
4	Kotwica Kolobrzeg	34	20	8	6	70:41	68
5	KS Mieszko Gniezno	34	19	4	11	74:53	61
6	Polonia Sroda Wielkopol	34	19	3	12	59:44	60
7	Swit Szczecin	34	16	10	8	50:33	58
8	B. Gdynia	34	18	3	13	59:50	57
9	Kleczew	34	16	5	13	48:50	53
10	Starogard Gdanski	34	14	9	11	56:37	51
11	Pogon Szczecin II	34	14	3	17	52:59	45
12	Gornik Konin	34	12	5	17	46:56	41
13	Baltyk Koszalin	34	12	4	18	57:75	40
14	Jarocin	34	10	8	16	37:50	38
15	Gwardia Koszalin	34	10	3	21	35:71	33
16	Chemik Bydgoszcz	34	9	3	22	38:66	30
17	KS Wierzyca Pelplin	34	3	5	26	34:81	14
18	Wda Swiecie	34	1	5	28	20:93	8