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Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Pogon Szczecin II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pogon Szczecin II in this III Liga - Group II 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pogon Szczecin II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Chemik Bydgoszcz
6%
Draws
90%
Pogon Szczecin II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pogon Szczecin II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chemik Bydgoszcz haven't matched Pogon Szczecin II's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Pogon Szczecin II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Pogon Szczecin II have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Chemik Bydgoszcz Clean Sheet 20%
Pogon Szczecin II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemik Bydgoszcz Pogon Szczecin II
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 11 18
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 2.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Pogon Szczecin II
1:3
Oct 28, 2018 III Liga - Group II
Pogon Szczecin II vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
2:0
May 21, 2017 III Liga - Group II
Pogon Szczecin II vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
0:0
Oct 22, 2016 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Pogon Szczecin II
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemik Bydgoszcz 10 / 100
Pogon Szczecin II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemik Bydgoszcz Pogon Szczecin II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogon Szczecin II has conceded goals in 84% of their last 37 outings.

Attacking prowess: Chemik Bydgoszcz scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Chemik Bydgoszcz went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chemik Bydgoszcz VS Pogon Szczecin II
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan II34236586:3375
2KKS Kalisz34216770:3769
3Stezyca34216775:3769
4Kotwica Kolobrzeg34208670:4168
5KS Mieszko Gniezno341941174:5361
6Polonia Sroda Wielkopol341931259:4460
7Swit Szczecin341610850:3358
8B. Gdynia341831359:5057
9Kleczew341651348:5053
10Starogard Gdanski341491156:3751
11Pogon Szczecin II341431752:5945
12Gornik Konin341251746:5641
13Baltyk Koszalin341241857:7540
14Jarocin341081637:5038
15Gwardia Koszalin341032135:7133
16Chemik Bydgoszcz34932238:6630
17KS Wierzyca Pelplin34352634:8114
18Wda Swiecie34152820:938