Sport Picks
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group II 
Match Events
5'
5'
Mikita P.
14'
14'
Zagorski D.
17'
17'
Ratajczak P.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group II game between Chemik Bydgoszcz and Polonia Sroda Wielkopol finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Polonia Sroda Wielkopol.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Polonia Sroda Wielkopol carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Polonia Sroda Wielkopol a 40% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Polonia Sroda Wielkopol have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Chemik Bydgoszcz Clean Sheet 10%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chemik Bydgoszcz | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 2.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.82 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1:4
May 11, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2:3
Oct 14, 2018 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
2:0
May 6, 2017 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
3:0
Oct 8, 2016 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chemik Bydgoszcz Compare
Top Goalscorer Zagorski D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Compare
Top Goalscorer Mikita P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ratajczak P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chemik Bydgoszcz 22 / 100
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chemik Bydgoszcz Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Recent resilience: Chemik Bydgoszcz stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Chemik Bydgoszcz scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Chemik Bydgoszcz VS Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1.38 Goals Scored 3
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Chemik Bydgoszcz
(Home) 03 Oct
Lipno Steszew
0 : 1 Chemik Bydgoszcz
26 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 3 Blekitni Stargard
19 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 1 KKS Kalisz
12 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
2 : 2 Chemik Bydgoszcz
05 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 2 Baltyk Koszalin
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 3 Blekitni Stargard
19 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 1 KKS Kalisz
05 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 2 Baltyk Koszalin
01 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
0 : 3 Piast Gliwice
22 Aug
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 1 Swinoujscie
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Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
(Away) 09 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 0 Kluczevia Stargard
03 Oct
Wda Swiecie
0 : 4 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2 Elana Torun
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3 Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Wda Swiecie
0 : 4 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
05 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
4 : 4 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
22 Aug
Lipno Steszew
2 : 3 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
14 Aug
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 4 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 35:16 | 30 |
| 2 | Luzino | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 34:13 | 28 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 4 | Blekitni Stargard | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 30:23 | 18 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 6 | Wda Swiecie | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Notec Czarnkow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 8 | KKS Kalisz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Baltyk Koszalin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 21:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Gedania Gdansk | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 26:26 | 14 |
| 12 | Swinoujscie | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 28:29 | 13 |
| 14 | Elana Torun | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Kotwica Kornik | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19:33 | 11 |
| 18 | Lipno Steszew | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15:26 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
