Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chemik Police vs Gwardia Koszalin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Chyla D.
(Penalty)
49' Event
Szygenda G.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 game between Chemik Police and Gwardia Koszalin finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gwardia Koszalin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Chemik Police
40%
Draws
29%
Gwardia Koszalin
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gwardia Koszalin come out ahead of Chemik Police on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Chemik Police Clean Sheet 11%
Gwardia Koszalin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemik Police Gwardia Koszalin
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 1.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Police vs Gwardia Koszalin
0:2
Aug 7, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Police vs Gwardia Koszalin
0:6
May 30, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Gwardia Koszalin vs Chemik Police
0:0
Oct 26, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Police vs Gwardia Koszalin
4:0
Apr 16, 2016 III Liga - Group I
Gwardia Koszalin vs Chemik Police
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chemik Police Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Gwardia Koszalin Compare

Top Goalscorer Szygenda G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemik Police 30 / 100
Gwardia Koszalin 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemik Police Gwardia Koszalin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gwardia Koszalin has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Chemik Police has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Gwardia Koszalin registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chemik Police VS Gwardia Koszalin
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%