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Chemik Police vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Wlodyka K.
13' Event
Kozlik M.
26' Event
Wlodyka K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 game between Chemik Police and Kotwica Kolobrzeg finished 2-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kotwica Kolobrzeg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Chemik Police
40%
Draws
29%
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kotwica Kolobrzeg come out ahead of Chemik Police on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kotwica Kolobrzeg have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Chemik Police Clean Sheet 20%
Kotwica Kolobrzeg Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemik Police Kotwica Kolobrzeg
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 4 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Police vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg
2:6
Sep 5, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Police vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg
1:3
May 2, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Chemik Police
0:0
Sep 29, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Police vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg
0:4
Nov 15, 2008 Division 2 - West
Chemik Police vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chemik Police Compare

Top Goalscorer Chyrek M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chmielowiec K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Kotwica Kolobrzeg Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozlik M.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Wlodyka K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemik Police 32 / 100
Kotwica Kolobrzeg 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemik Police Kotwica Kolobrzeg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Kotwica Kolobrzeg conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Chemik Police remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Kotwica Kolobrzeg lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kotwica Kolobrzeg
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemik Police

(Home)
26 Jun
Kleczew
3 : 1
Chemik Police
19 Jun
Chemik Police
2 : 6
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
12 Jun
Gornik Konin
2 : 2
Chemik Police
06 Jun
Chemik Police
3 : 1
KS Mieszko Gniezno
02 Jun
Gryf Wejherowo
0 : 0
Chemik Police
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Kotwica Kolobrzeg

(Away)
24 Sept
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin
25 May
Termalica Bruk-Bet
2 : 1
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
17 May
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
1 : 1
Pogon Siedlce
11 May
Odra Opole
4 : 2
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
05 May
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
2 : 1
Chrobry Glogow
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