Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chemnitzer vs BFC Preussen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Marx J.
50' Event
Marx J.
90' Event
Alberico D.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost game between Chemnitzer and BFC Preussen finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chemnitzer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Chemnitzer
20%
Draws
32%
BFC Preussen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chemnitzer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chemnitzer come out ahead of BFC Preussen on wins alone.
  • Chemnitzer are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Chemnitzer Clean Sheet 20%
BFC Preussen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemnitzer BFC Preussen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.17 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs BFC Preussen
3:0
Apr 8, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
BFC Preussen vs Chemnitzer
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs BFC Preussen
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chemnitzer Compare

Top Goalscorer Marx J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Alberico D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

BFC Preussen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemnitzer 85 / 100
BFC Preussen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemnitzer BFC Preussen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chemnitzer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chemnitzer's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

BFC Preussen has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Chemnitzer remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chemnitzer VS BFC Preussen
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemnitzer

(Home)
30 Sept
Chemnitzer
4 : 0
Rabenstein
26 Sept
Rsv Eintracht
0 : 4
Chemnitzer
20 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
1 : 3
Chemnitzer
16 Sept
Chemnitzer
0 : 1
Babelsberg
11 Sept
Altglienicke
0 : 2
Chemnitzer
Page 1 of 6

BFC Preussen

(Away)
26 Sept
Hallescher
3 : 2
BFC Preussen
19 Sept
BFC Preussen
1 : 1
SV Tasmania Berlin
15 Sept
Luckenwalde
0 : 2
BFC Preussen
12 Sept
BFC Preussen
4 : 1
Magdeburg II
29 Aug
Erfurt
1 : 1
BFC Preussen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 11 8 3 0 36:11 27
2 Chemnitzer 11 8 2 1 25:5 26
3 Hallescher 11 6 4 1 18:9 22
4 BFC Dynamo 11 6 3 2 20:12 21
5 Altglienicke 11 6 3 2 20:14 21
6 Aue 11 6 3 2 20:16 21
7 Jena 11 6 1 4 19:10 19
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 23:16 19
9 Lokomotive Leipzig 11 4 3 4 23:23 15
10 Zwickau 11 4 3 4 13:17 15
11 Magdeburg II 11 4 1 6 20:23 13
12 Babelsberg 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 BFC Preussen 11 2 4 5 14:17 10
14 Chemie Leipzig 11 2 3 6 12:17 9
15 Hertha Berlin II 11 2 3 6 9:21 9
16 Rsv Eintracht 11 1 3 7 13:29 6
17 SV Tasmania Berlin 11 1 2 8 13:36 5
18 Luckenwalde 11 1 0 10 9:28 3
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)