Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chemnitzer vs BFC Preussen

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Marx J.
50' Event
Marx J.
90' Event
Alberico D.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost game between Chemnitzer and BFC Preussen finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chemnitzer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Chemnitzer
20%
Draws
23%
BFC Preussen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chemnitzer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chemnitzer come out ahead of BFC Preussen on wins alone.
  • Chemnitzer are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Chemnitzer Clean Sheet 17%
BFC Preussen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemnitzer BFC Preussen
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.17 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs BFC Preussen
3:0
Apr 8, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
BFC Preussen vs Chemnitzer
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs BFC Preussen
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chemnitzer Compare

Top Goalscorer Marx J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Alberico D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

BFC Preussen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemnitzer 75 / 100
BFC Preussen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemnitzer BFC Preussen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chemnitzer's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

BFC Preussen has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Chemnitzer remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chemnitzer VS BFC Preussen
2.38 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemnitzer

(Home)
09 Aug
Hallescher
0 : 0
Chemnitzer
04 Aug
Chemnitzer
3 : 1
Zwickau
31 Jul
Chemnitzer
3 : 0
BFC Preussen
25 Jul
Hertha Berlin II
0 : 4
Chemnitzer
18 Jul
Chemnitzer
1 : 4
Furth II
Page 1 of 6

BFC Preussen

(Away)
09 Aug
Aue
2 : 1
BFC Preussen
05 Aug
BFC Preussen
1 : 2
Lokomotive Leipzig
31 Jul
Chemnitzer
3 : 0
BFC Preussen
25 Jul
BFC Preussen
1 : 1
Rsv Eintracht
19 Jul
Werder Bremen II
0 : 5
BFC Preussen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 4 3 1 0 13:3 10
2 Chemnitzer 4 3 1 0 10:1 10
3 Aue 4 3 1 0 10:6 10
4 Altglienicke 4 2 2 0 11:7 8
5 Magdeburg II 4 2 1 1 11:6 7
6 Greifswalder FC 4 2 1 1 10:6 7
7 Lokomotive Leipzig 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
8 Jena 4 2 0 2 7:4 6
9 Hallescher 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
10 Rsv Eintracht 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
11 Babelsberg 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
12 BFC Dynamo 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
13 Zwickau 4 1 1 2 3:7 4
14 Luckenwalde 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
15 Hertha Berlin II 4 1 0 3 4:12 3
16 SV Tasmania Berlin 4 1 0 3 4:15 3
17 BFC Preussen 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
18 Chemie Leipzig 4 0 1 3 1:6 1
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)