Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chemnitzer vs Union Berlin

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Ljubicic M.
46'
Sub
Ilic A. In: Bedia C.
Out: Ilic A.
46'
Sub
Ljubicic M. In: Engel O.
Out: Ljubicic M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Chemnitzer and Union Berlin finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Chemnitzer
20%
Draws
23%
Union Berlin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chemnitzer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chemnitzer come out ahead of Union Berlin on wins alone.
  • Model gives Chemnitzer a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Union Berlin have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Chemnitzer Clean Sheet 20%
Union Berlin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemnitzer Union Berlin
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 2 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.14 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2026 Club Friendly
Chemnitzer vs Union Berlin
1:1
Aug 1, 2022 DFB Pokal
Chemnitzer vs Union Berlin
1:2
Sep 5, 2019 Club Friendly
Union Berlin vs Chemnitzer
3:1
Jul 4, 2018 Club Friendly
Union Berlin vs Chemnitzer
3:1
Nov 22, 2016 Club Friendly
Union Berlin vs Chemnitzer
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chemnitzer Compare

Top Goalscorer Marx J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Union Berlin Compare

Top Goalscorer Ljubicic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemnitzer 85 / 100
Union Berlin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemnitzer Union Berlin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chemnitzer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chemnitzer's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Union Berlin has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Chemnitzer went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chemnitzer VS Union Berlin
2.25 Goals Scored 2
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemnitzer

(Home)
16 Sept
Chemnitzer
0 : 1
Babelsberg
11 Sept
Altglienicke
0 : 2
Chemnitzer
28 Aug
Chemnitzer
1 : 1
Jena
25 Aug
Lokomotive Leipzig
0 : 2
Chemnitzer
15 Aug
Chemnitzer
3 : 1
Aue
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Union Berlin

(Away)
18 Sept
Bayern Munich
7 : 0
Union Berlin
11 Sept
Union Berlin
1 : 3
Schalke
05 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0
Union Berlin
29 Aug
Union Berlin
3 : 3
Eintracht Frankfurt
23 Aug
Braunschweig
2 : 4
Union Berlin
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