Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chemnitzer vs Union Berlin

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Ljubicic M.
46'
Sub
Ilic A. In: Bedia C.
Out: Ilic A.
46'
Sub
Ljubicic M. In: Engel O.
Out: Ljubicic M.

AI Match Summary

Chemnitzer host Union Berlin in the Club Friendly. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Chemnitzer have averaged 2.13 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Union Berlin's 3.13 scored and 1.75 conceded. Past meetings favor Union Berlin slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 9, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 2.19, favoring Chemnitzer. Chemnitzer in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Chemnitzer
22%
Draws
60%
Union Berlin
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Union Berlin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Chemnitzer has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Union Berlin.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Union Berlin.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Chemnitzer Clean Sheet 10%
Union Berlin Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemnitzer Union Berlin
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.13 3.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2026 Club Friendly
Chemnitzer vs Union Berlin
1:1
Aug 1, 2022 DFB Pokal
Chemnitzer vs Union Berlin
1:2
Sep 5, 2019 Club Friendly
Union Berlin vs Chemnitzer
3:1
Jul 4, 2018 Club Friendly
Union Berlin vs Chemnitzer
3:1
Nov 22, 2016 Club Friendly
Union Berlin vs Chemnitzer
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chemnitzer Compare

Top Goalscorer Marx J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Union Berlin Compare

Top Goalscorer Ljubicic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemnitzer 18 / 100
Union Berlin 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemnitzer Union Berlin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chemnitzer scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Union Berlin let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Chemnitzer went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Union Berlin lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chemnitzer VS Union Berlin
2.13 Goals Scored 3.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%