Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chemnitzer vs Zwickau

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Alberico D.
44' Event
Marx J.
64' Event
Vogt D.

AI Match Summary

Chemnitzer in this Regionalliga Nordost matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chemnitzer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Chemnitzer
15%
Draws
28%
Zwickau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chemnitzer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Zwickau have won more games recently than Chemnitzer.
  • Win probability leans Chemnitzer's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Nordost form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Chemnitzer Clean Sheet 10%
Zwickau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemnitzer Zwickau
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 16
Draws 7 3
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.25 2.61
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs Zwickau
3:1
May 9, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs Zwickau
3:2
Nov 22, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Zwickau vs Chemnitzer
4:0
Feb 2, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Zwickau vs Chemnitzer
2:2
Aug 11, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs Zwickau
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chemnitzer Compare

Top Goalscorer Alberico D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marx J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Zwickau Compare

Top Goalscorer Mobius L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemnitzer 83 / 100
Zwickau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemnitzer Zwickau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chemnitzer scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Defensive concern: Zwickau conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Chemnitzer went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chemnitzer VS Zwickau
2.38 Goals Scored 5.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemnitzer

(Home)
04 Aug
Chemnitzer
3 : 1
Zwickau
31 Jul
Chemnitzer
3 : 0
BFC Preussen
25 Jul
Hertha Berlin II
0 : 4
Chemnitzer
18 Jul
Chemnitzer
1 : 4
Furth II
15 Jul
Chemnitzer
3 : 0
Unterhaching
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Zwickau

(Away)
04 Aug
Chemnitzer
3 : 1
Zwickau
01 Aug
Zwickau
0 : 3
Greifswalder FC
26 Jul
Jena
1 : 2
Zwickau
17 Jul
Sparta Prague B
3 : 2
Zwickau
14 Jul
Plauen
3 : 7
Zwickau
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 4 3 1 0 13:3 10
2 Chemnitzer 4 3 1 0 10:1 10
3 Aue 4 3 1 0 10:6 10
4 Greifswalder FC 4 2 1 1 10:6 7
5 Lokomotive Leipzig 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
6 Jena 4 2 0 2 7:4 6
7 Hallescher 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 Altglienicke 3 1 2 0 8:6 5
9 Rsv Eintracht 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
10 Magdeburg II 3 1 1 1 8:5 4
11 Babelsberg 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
12 BFC Dynamo 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
13 Zwickau 4 1 1 2 3:7 4
14 Luckenwalde 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
15 Hertha Berlin II 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
16 SV Tasmania Berlin 4 1 0 3 4:15 3
17 BFC Preussen 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
18 Chemie Leipzig 4 0 1 3 1:6 1
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)