Sport Picks
Chemnitzer vs Zwickau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Regionalliga Nordost 
Match Events
11'
11'
Alberico D.
44'
44'
Marx J.
64'
64'
Vogt D.
AI Match Summary
Chemnitzer in this Regionalliga Nordost matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chemnitzer.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
20%
24%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chemnitzer
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Chemnitzer have won more games recently than Zwickau.
- Win probability leans Chemnitzer's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Regionalliga Nordost form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Chemnitzer Clean Sheet 20%
Zwickau Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chemnitzer | Zwickau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 18 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.2 | 2.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 4, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs Zwickau
3:1
May 9, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs Zwickau
3:2
Nov 22, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Zwickau vs Chemnitzer
4:0
Feb 2, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Zwickau vs Chemnitzer
2:2
Aug 11, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs Zwickau
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chemnitzer Compare
Top Goalscorer Alberico D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Marx J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Zwickau Compare
Top Goalscorer Mobius L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chemnitzer 85 / 100
Zwickau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chemnitzer Zwickau
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chemnitzer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chemnitzer scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Defensive concern: Zwickau conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
Chemnitzer went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chemnitzer VS Zwickau
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Chemnitzer
(Home) 30 Sept
Chemnitzer
4 : 0 Rabenstein
26 Sept
Rsv Eintracht
0 : 4 Chemnitzer
20 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
1 : 3 Chemnitzer
16 Sept
Chemnitzer
0 : 1 Babelsberg
11 Sept
Altglienicke
0 : 2 Chemnitzer
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
Chemnitzer
4 : 0 Rabenstein
16 Sept
Chemnitzer
0 : 1 Babelsberg
28 Aug
Chemnitzer
1 : 1 Jena
15 Aug
Chemnitzer
3 : 1 Aue
04 Aug
Chemnitzer
3 : 1 Zwickau
Page 1 of 4
Zwickau
(Away) 27 Sept
Hertha Berlin II
1 : 1 Zwickau
18 Sept
Zwickau
1 : 3 Hallescher
15 Sept
Zwickau
1 : 2 Altglienicke
12 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
2 : 2 Zwickau
29 Aug
Zwickau
1 : 0 Babelsberg
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Hertha Berlin II
1 : 1 Zwickau
12 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
2 : 2 Zwickau
26 Aug
Rsv Eintracht
1 : 2 Zwickau
09 Aug
BFC Dynamo
0 : 0 Zwickau
04 Aug
Chemnitzer
3 : 1 Zwickau
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erfurt | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 36:11 | 27 |
| 2 | Chemnitzer | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25:5 | 26 |
| 3 | BFC Dynamo | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 4 | Hallescher | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18:9 | 22 |
| 5 | Altglienicke | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20:15 | 21 |
| 6 | Aue | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 7 | Jena | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:10 | 19 |
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 23:16 | 19 |
| 9 | Zwickau | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 10 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23:23 | 15 |
| 11 | Magdeburg II | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 20:23 | 13 |
| 12 | Babelsberg | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 13 | BFC Preussen | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Chemie Leipzig | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 15 | Hertha Berlin II | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9:21 | 9 |
| 16 | Rsv Eintracht | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13:29 | 6 |
| 17 | Luckenwalde | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 12:29 | 6 |
| 18 | SV Tasmania Berlin | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13:38 | 5 |
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
