Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cheng Fung vs Sporting Macau

Macao Macao

Elite League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Kim Min-sub
31' Event
Teng L.
46' Event
Yoo D.

AI Match Summary

Cheng Fung in this Elite League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cheng Fung.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Cheng Fung
30%
Draws
47%
Sporting Macau
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting Macau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cheng Fung lately — more wins on the board than Sporting Macau.
  • 23% — that's where the model lands on Cheng Fung taking it.
  • Regular Elite League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
  • Cheng Fung have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Cheng Fung Clean Sheet 11%
Sporting Macau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cheng Fung Sporting Macau
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 10 4
Draws 9 4
Losses 15 25
Goals Scored 1.59 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.35 4.18
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Sporting Macau
6:0
Apr 13, 2024 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Sporting Macau
3:0
Jun 11, 2023 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Sporting Macau
6:1
Mar 23, 2023 Elite League
Sporting Macau vs Cheng Fung
1:3
Jun 12, 2022 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Sporting Macau
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cheng Fung Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoo D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kim Min-sub
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Sporting Macau Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cheng Fung 83 / 100
Sporting Macau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cheng Fung Sporting Macau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cheng Fung Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sporting Macau conceded in 97% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Cheng Fung's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Away concern: Sporting Macau has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cheng Fung VS Sporting Macau
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2.63 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Cheng Fung

(Home)
25 Jul
Cheng Fung
2 : 2
University of Macau
18 Jul
Cheng Fung
0 : 4
Shao Jiang
11 Jul
Cheng Fung
1 : 6
Must IPO
05 Jul
Chiba
1 : 1
Cheng Fung
27 Jun
Cheng Fung
1 : 4
Gala
Page 1 of 7

Sporting Macau

(Away)
03 Aug
Sporting Macau
1 : 3
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Gala
3 : 3
Sporting Macau
12 Jul
Lun Lok
1 : 2
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Sporting Macau
0 : 7
Chiba
28 Jun
Hang Sai
9 : 0
Sporting Macau
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 9 7 2 0 39:5 23
2 Shao Jiang 9 7 1 1 44:6 22
3 University of Macau 9 6 1 2 25:10 19
4 Cheng Fung 9 5 4 0 18:7 19
5 Benfica 9 5 1 3 19:14 16
6 Chiba 9 3 1 5 19:26 10
7 Gala 9 2 3 4 17:18 9
8 Hang Sai 9 2 1 6 17:26 7
9 Lun Lok 9 1 0 8 10:40 3
10 Sporting Macau 9 0 0 9 1:57 0
Promotion - Elite League 2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Elite League 2025 (Relegation Group)