Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cheng Fung vs University of Macau

Macao Macao

Elite League
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Chi Pang K.
52' Event
Lins D.
66' Event
Vitorino J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Elite League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cheng Fung
6%
Draws
4%
University of Macau
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cheng Fung

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cheng Fung have won more games recently than University of Macau.
  • Model gives Cheng Fung a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Cheng Fung Clean Sheet 20%
University of Macau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cheng Fung University of Macau
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 9 2
Losses 13 24
Goals Scored 2 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 4.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 4.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs University of Macau
2:2
Apr 26, 2026 Elite League
University of Macau vs Cheng Fung
0:3
Jul 26, 2025 Elite League
University of Macau vs Cheng Fung
1:1
Jun 22, 2025 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs University of Macau
1:2
Mar 27, 2025 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs University of Macau
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cheng Fung Compare

Top Goalscorer Lins D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vitorino J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

University of Macau Compare

Top Goalscorer Chi Pang K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Weng X.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cheng Fung 85 / 100
University of Macau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cheng Fung University of Macau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

University of Macau has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Cheng Fung found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: University of Macau registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cheng Fung VS University of Macau
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 4.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cheng Fung

(Home)
25 Jul
Cheng Fung
2 : 2
University of Macau
18 Jul
Cheng Fung
0 : 4
Shao Jiang
11 Jul
Cheng Fung
1 : 6
Must IPO
05 Jul
Chiba
1 : 1
Cheng Fung
27 Jun
Cheng Fung
1 : 4
Gala
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University of Macau

(Away)
25 Jul
Cheng Fung
2 : 2
University of Macau
19 Jul
Benfica
10 : 0
University of Macau
12 Jul
Artilheiros
3 : 2
University of Macau
05 Jul
University of Macau
1 : 7
Hang Sai
28 Jun
G. Universe
5 : 3
University of Macau
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shao Jiang18152190:1647
2Must IPO18142286:1444
3Gala18122452:2838
4Chiba1884644:3328
5Benfica1873848:4624
6G. Universe1872949:7023
7Cheng Fung1857631:3822
8Hang Sai18441038:4816
9Artilheiros18331225:9812
10University of Macau18011715:871
Promotion - Elite League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Elite League (Relegation Group)