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Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shanghai Shenhua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

Super League Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park, Chengdu
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
He Yiran
21' Event
Asue L.
Assist: Teixeira J.
35' Event
Wellington Silva
Assist: Wang Ziming

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Chengdu Rongcheng and Shanghai Shenhua finished 4-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shanghai Shenhua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Chengdu Rongcheng
15%
Draws
48%
Shanghai Shenhua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shanghai Shenhua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chengdu Rongcheng come out ahead of Shanghai Shenhua on wins alone.
  • Shanghai Shenhua are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Chengdu Rongcheng Clean Sheet 14%
Shanghai Shenhua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chengdu Rongcheng Shanghai Shenhua
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 15
Draws 7 3
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shanghai Shenhua
4:5
May 1, 2026 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Chengdu Rongcheng
2:3
Sep 21, 2025 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Chengdu Rongcheng
1:1
May 2, 2025 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shanghai Shenhua
1:0
Nov 2, 2024 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shanghai Shenhua
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chengdu Rongcheng Compare

Top Goalscorer He Yiran
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wellington Silva
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Shanghai Shenhua Compare

Top Goalscorer Asue L.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Rafael Ratao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chengdu Rongcheng 15 / 100
Shanghai Shenhua 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chengdu Rongcheng Shanghai Shenhua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shanghai Shenhua Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chengdu Rongcheng's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Shanghai Shenhua let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Chengdu Rongcheng went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chengdu Rongcheng VS Shanghai Shenhua
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chengdu Rongcheng

(Home)
10 Oct
Chengdu Rongcheng
0 : 1
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
06 Sept
Henan Songshan Longmen
0 : 0
Chengdu Rongcheng
29 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng
2 : 1
Liaoning Tieren
22 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng
4 : 5
Shanghai Shenhua
15 Aug
Zhejiang Professional
2 : 3
Chengdu Rongcheng
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Shanghai Shenhua

(Away)
10 Oct
Shanghai Shenhua
7 : 1
Yunnan Yukun
27 Sept
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 1
Zenit St Petersburg
17 Sept
Shanghai Shenhua
2 : 1
Tampines
06 Sept
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 3
Shanghai Shenhua
01 Sept
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 0
Shanghai Shenhua
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 27 15 7 5 51:31 52
2 Dalian Yingbo 27 13 4 10 42:42 43
3 Beijing Guoan 27 12 10 5 52:33 41
4 Yunnan Yukun 27 11 5 11 55:58 38
5 Qingdao West Coast 27 8 14 5 31:36 38
6 Shandong Taishan 26 13 4 9 46:43 37
7 Shanghai Port 27 11 8 8 44:35 36
8 Shanghai Shenhua 27 13 5 9 59:47 34
9 Zhejiang Professional 27 10 6 11 47:47 31
10 Chongqing Tonglianglong 26 7 10 9 27:32 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 27 8 5 14 36:47 29
12 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 27 10 8 9 37:32 28
13 Henan Songshan Longmen 27 8 10 9 35:37 28
14 Liaoning Tieren 26 7 4 15 34:47 25
15 Wuhan Three Towns 26 5 11 10 39:46 21
16 Qingdao Hainiu 27 6 3 18 34:56 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)