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Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

China China

Super League Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ademi A.
Assist: Ghojaehmet Shahzat
18'
Jiang Zhipeng
20' Event
Wellington Silva
Assist: Felipe Silva

AI Match Summary

Chengdu Rongcheng in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chengdu Rongcheng.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Chengdu Rongcheng
22%
Draws
18%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Chengdu Rongcheng

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chengdu Rongcheng lately — more wins on the board than Shenzhen Xinpengcheng.
  • Win probability leans Chengdu Rongcheng's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chengdu Rongcheng have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Chengdu Rongcheng Clean Sheet 17%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chengdu Rongcheng Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 10
Draws 8 3
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Chengdu Rongcheng
2:3
Mar 6, 2026 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
5:1
Nov 22, 2025 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Chengdu Rongcheng
1:1
Jun 25, 2025 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
5:0
Aug 9, 2024 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Chengdu Rongcheng
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chengdu Rongcheng Compare

Top Goalscorer Wellington Silva
2 Goals
Assists Leader Felipe Silva
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Compare

Top Goalscorer Ademi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chengdu Rongcheng 57 / 100
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chengdu Rongcheng Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chengdu Rongcheng found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Chengdu Rongcheng stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chengdu Rongcheng VS Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng19134239:1843
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1978423:2129
3Dalian Yingbo1891828:3228
4Yunnan Yukun1974836:3525
5Qingdao West Coast19510423:2925
6Shandong Taishan1993735:3424
7Beijing Guoan1876530:2422
8Zhejiang Professional1975727:3221
9Liaoning Tieren1863925:3021
10Shenzhen Xinpengcheng19621125:3320
11Shanghai Shenhua1885536:2919
12Henan Songshan Longmen1873823:2318
13Shanghai Port1856728:2616
14Qingdao Hainiu19631030:3614
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1856724:2211
16Wuhan Three Towns1837826:3411