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Chengdu Rongcheng vs Wuhan Three Towns - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

Super League Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park, Chengdu
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Match Events

37'
Wei Shihao
40'
Ming Tian
46'
Sub
Liao Lisheng In: Iminqari M.
Out: Liao Lisheng

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Chengdu Rongcheng and Wuhan Three Towns finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Chengdu Rongcheng
35%
Draws
30%
Wuhan Three Towns
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Chengdu Rongcheng carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Chengdu Rongcheng are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Chengdu Rongcheng Clean Sheet 10%
Wuhan Three Towns Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chengdu Rongcheng Wuhan Three Towns
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 6
Draws 7 11
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.07 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Wuhan Three Towns
1:1
Apr 17, 2026 Super League
Wuhan Three Towns vs Chengdu Rongcheng
0:1
Jun 29, 2025 Super League
Wuhan Three Towns vs Chengdu Rongcheng
2:2
Feb 22, 2025 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Wuhan Three Towns
1:0
Jul 20, 2024 Super League
Wuhan Three Towns vs Chengdu Rongcheng
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chengdu Rongcheng Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Wuhan Three Towns Compare

Top Goalscorer Li Ang
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chengdu Rongcheng 34 / 100
Wuhan Three Towns 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chengdu Rongcheng Wuhan Three Towns

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chengdu Rongcheng scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Wuhan Three Towns conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Chengdu Rongcheng has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chengdu Rongcheng VS Wuhan Three Towns
2 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chengdu Rongcheng

(Home)
06 Sept
Henan Songshan Longmen
0 : 0
Chengdu Rongcheng
29 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng
2 : 1
Liaoning Tieren
22 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng
4 : 5
Shanghai Shenhua
15 Aug
Zhejiang Professional
2 : 3
Chengdu Rongcheng
08 Aug
Yunnan Yukun
1 : 0
Chengdu Rongcheng
Page 1 of 6

Wuhan Three Towns

(Away)
18 Sept
Zhejiang Professional
4 : 1
Wuhan Three Towns
12 Sept
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 1
Henan Songshan Longmen
05 Sept
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 2
Qingdao West Coast
29 Aug
Qingdao Hainiu
1 : 5
Wuhan Three Towns
22 Aug
Wuhan Three Towns
0 : 0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 26 15 7 4 51:30 52
2 Beijing Guoan 27 12 10 5 52:33 41
3 Dalian Yingbo 26 12 4 10 38:42 40
4 Yunnan Yukun 26 11 5 10 54:51 38
5 Qingdao West Coast 26 8 14 4 31:32 38
6 Shandong Taishan 26 13 4 9 46:43 37
7 Shanghai Port 27 11 8 8 44:35 36
8 Shanghai Shenhua 26 12 5 9 52:46 31
9 Zhejiang Professional 27 10 6 11 47:47 31
10 Chongqing Tonglianglong 26 7 10 9 27:32 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 27 8 5 14 36:47 29
12 Henan Songshan Longmen 27 8 10 9 35:37 28
13 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 26 9 8 9 36:32 25
14 Liaoning Tieren 26 7 4 15 34:47 25
15 Wuhan Three Towns 26 5 11 10 39:46 21
16 Qingdao Hainiu 27 6 3 18 34:56 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)