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Chennaiyin FC vs Bangladesh Army

India India

Durand Cup 2024
Sun, Aug 11, 2024
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Durand Cup 2024. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Chennaiyin FC at 0.75 goals for, 2.13 against; Bangladesh Army at 0 for, 0 against. Past meetings favor Chennaiyin FC slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 11, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.97 - 1.56) back Chennaiyin FC to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Chennaiyin FC
40%
Draws
29%
Bangladesh Army
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Chennaiyin FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Chennaiyin FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Chennaiyin FC Clean Sheet 15%
Bangladesh Army Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chennaiyin FC Bangladesh Army
Matches Played 29 3
Wins 5 0
Draws 7 2
Losses 17 1
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2024 Durand Cup
Chennaiyin FC vs Bangladesh Army
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chennaiyin FC 31 / 100
Bangladesh Army 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chennaiyin FC Bangladesh Army

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bangladesh Army's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 3 matches.

Attacking prowess: Chennaiyin FC scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Chennaiyin FC has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chennaiyin FC VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chennaiyin FC

(Home)
16 May
Chennaiyin FC
1 : 2
Bengaluru FC
10 May
North East United
4 : 1
Chennaiyin FC
06 May
Minerva Punjab
1 : 0
Chennaiyin FC
25 Apr
Jamshedpur
4 : 1
Chennaiyin FC
21 Apr
Chennaiyin FC
0 : 0
Mohammedan
Page 1 of 6

Bangladesh Army

(Away)
10 Aug
Minerva Punjab
0 : 0
Bangladesh Army
06 Aug
East Bengal
2 : 2
Bangladesh Army
03 Aug
Mohun Bagan
5 : 0
Bangladesh Army

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mohun Bagan22007:07
2East Bengal22006:27
3Downtown Heroes31023:43
4Indian Air Force (New Delhi)30031:110
Promotion - Durand Cup 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bengaluru FC330010:29
2Mohammedan31114:44
3Inter Kashi31113:54
4Indian Navy30031:70
Promotion - Durand Cup 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kerala Blasters321016:17
2Minerva Punjab32107:17
3CISF Protectors31022:103
4Mumbai City30030:130
Promotion - Durand Cup 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Army Red33007:29
2Jamshedpur32017:46
3Chennaiyin FC31023:43
4Assam Rifles30031:80
5Bangladesh Army00000:00
Promotion - Durand Cup 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1North East United330011:19
2Bodoland FC32016:56
3Odisha FC31026:73
4Border Security Force30033:130
Promotion - Durand Cup 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lajong32104:17
2FC Goa32107:57
3Nepal Army31023:33
4Rangdajied United30033:80
5Hyderabad00000:00
Promotion - Durand Cup 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams