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Cheongju vs Ansan Greeners

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Cheongju Stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cheongju play Ansan Greeners in the K League 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cheongju averaged 0.72 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. Ansan Greeners averaged 0.69 goals scored and 1.76 conceded. In past meetings, Cheongju won 1, Ansan Greeners won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 21, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Cheongju and 0.94 for Ansan Greeners. This points to a Ansan Greeners double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Cheongju
35%
Draws
33%
Ansan Greeners
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ansan Greeners

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Cheongju picked up more points recently compared to Ansan Greeners.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Cheongju Clean Sheet 24%
Ansan Greeners Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cheongju Ansan Greeners
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 2 4
Draws 14 6
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 0.72 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 K League 2
Cheongju vs Ansan Greeners
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 K League 2
Ansan Greeners vs Cheongju
0:0
Aug 2, 2025 K League 2
Ansan Greeners vs Cheongju
1:2
May 24, 2025 K League 2
Cheongju vs Ansan Greeners
0:0
Sep 24, 2024 K League 2
Ansan Greeners vs Cheongju
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cheongju Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ansan Greeners Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Lima
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cheongju 34 / 100
Ansan Greeners 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cheongju Ansan Greeners

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ansan Greeners or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cheongju attacking → ← attacking Ansan Greeners

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cheongju scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Ansan Greeners let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Cheongju went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ansan Greeners lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 18
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Busan15103233:2033
2Suwon Bluewings15102321:1232
3Seoul E-Land1692528:1929
4Daegu1584332:2028
5Suwon FC1575329:2126
6Hwaseong1574422:1725
7Gimpo FC1566319:1624
8Chungnam Asan1565423:1823
9Cheonan City1547419:1819
10Gyeongnam1554619:2419
11Seongnam1538414:1517
12Yongin FC1537519:2216
13Paju Frontier1542915:2114
14Cheongju15110418:2613
15Ansan Greeners15321015:2811
16Jeonnam1516818:269
17Gimhae15131112:336