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Cheongju vs Hwaseong

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Cheongju Stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Jang Min-jun
27' Event
Jeong Jin-Woo
Assist: Seo Jae-Won
33' Event
Pllana L.
Assist: Jegal Jae-Min

AI Match Summary

Hwaseong in this K League 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hwaseong.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Cheongju
20%
Draws
38%
Hwaseong
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cheongju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Cheongju haven't matched Hwaseong's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Cheongju taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Hwaseong here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Cheongju Clean Sheet 10%
Hwaseong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cheongju Hwaseong
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 3 10
Draws 14 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 K League 2
Cheongju vs Hwaseong
2:3
Oct 11, 2025 K League 2
Hwaseong vs Cheongju
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 K League 2
Cheongju vs Hwaseong
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 K League 2
Hwaseong vs Cheongju
2:1
Sep 25, 2022 K3 League
Hwaseong vs Cheongju
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cheongju Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeong Jin-Woo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seo Jae-Won
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Hwaseong Compare

Top Goalscorer Petrov S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pllana L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cheongju 40 / 100
Hwaseong 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cheongju Hwaseong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hwaseong let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Cheongju stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Cheongju's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cheongju VS Hwaseong
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Busan16113235:2036
2Daegu1795336:2332
3Suwon Bluewings16102422:1432
4Suwon FC1685334:2129
5Seoul E-Land1692528:1929
6Hwaseong1674523:1925
7Gimpo FC1767420:1925
8Chungnam Asan1666424:1924
9Gyeongnam1655620:2520
10Cheonan City1647519:1919
11Yongin FC1638520:2317
12Paju Frontier1652917:2217
13Seongnam1638516:1817
14Cheongju16111419:2714
15Ansan Greeners16421017:2914
16Jeonnam1616918:319
17Gimhae16231113:339