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Cheongju vs Hwaseong Prediction & H2H Stats

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Cheongju Stadion, Cheongju
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Match Events

8'
Jang Min-jun
27' Event
Jeong Jin-Woo
Assist: Seo Jae-Won
33' Event
Pllana L.
Assist: Jegal Jae-Min

AI Match Summary

Hwaseong in this K League 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hwaseong.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Cheongju
30%
Draws
37%
Hwaseong
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hwaseong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Cheongju haven't matched Hwaseong's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Hwaseong here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Cheongju Clean Sheet 10%
Hwaseong Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cheongju Hwaseong
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 14 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.23 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 K League 2
Hwaseong vs Cheongju
2:1
May 23, 2026 K League 2
Cheongju vs Hwaseong
2:3
Oct 11, 2025 K League 2
Hwaseong vs Cheongju
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 K League 2
Cheongju vs Hwaseong
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 K League 2
Hwaseong vs Cheongju
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cheongju Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeong Jin-Woo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seo Jae-Won
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Hwaseong Compare

Top Goalscorer Petrov S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pllana L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cheongju 30 / 100
Hwaseong 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cheongju Hwaseong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cheongju scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Hwaseong conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Cheongju stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cheongju VS Hwaseong
1 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cheongju

(Home)
20 Sept
Ansan Greeners
2 : 3
Cheongju
12 Sept
Chungnam Asan
0 : 1
Cheongju
04 Sept
Cheongju
0 : 2
Seoul E-Land
29 Aug
Hwaseong
2 : 1
Cheongju
23 Aug
Cheongju
1 : 1
Gyeongnam
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Hwaseong

(Away)
20 Sept
Seongnam
2 : 2
Hwaseong
12 Sept
Ansan Greeners
0 : 2
Hwaseong
05 Sept
Cheonan City
1 : 1
Hwaseong
29 Aug
Hwaseong
2 : 1
Cheongju
23 Aug
Jeonnam
1 : 0
Hwaseong
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suwon Bluewings 25 16 5 4 39:20 53
2 Suwon FC 25 13 9 3 50:29 48
3 Seoul E-Land 26 14 6 6 45:30 48
4 Daegu 26 13 7 6 48:35 46
5 Hwaseong 26 12 8 6 41:27 44
6 Busan 26 12 5 9 41:34 41
7 Gimpo FC 25 8 11 6 31:30 35
8 Chungnam Asan 25 9 7 9 34:31 34
9 Gyeongnam 25 8 10 7 31:30 34
10 Seongnam 25 7 10 8 28:30 31
11 Cheongju 26 5 14 7 31:41 29
12 Paju Frontier 25 8 5 12 24:28 29
13 Yongin FC 25 5 12 8 31:35 27
14 Cheonan City 26 4 11 11 30:37 23
15 Ansan Greeners 26 6 4 16 27:49 22
16 Jeonnam 25 4 9 12 28:43 21
17 Gimhae 25 2 7 16 19:49 13
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