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Cheraga vs WM Tebessa

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup 2009/2010
Cheraga Logo

Cheraga

1 - 0
FT
WM Tebessa Logo

WM Tebessa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cheraga in this Algeria Cup 2009/2010 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Cheraga
15%
Draws
33%
WM Tebessa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cheraga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cheraga lately — more wins on the board than WM Tebessa.
  • Model gives Cheraga a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Cheraga have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cheraga, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Cheraga Clean Sheet 19%
WM Tebessa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cheraga WM Tebessa
Matches Played 30 4
Wins 12 1
Draws 4 0
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 1.2 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 21, 2013 Algeria Cup
Cheraga vs WM Tebessa
2:0
Dec 26, 2009 Algeria Cup
Cheraga vs WM Tebessa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cheraga 49 / 100
WM Tebessa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cheraga WM Tebessa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cheraga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: WM Tebessa conceded in 100% of 4 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Cheraga scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

WM Tebessa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cheraga VS WM Tebessa
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cheraga

(Home)
19 Dec
Mlila
1 : 0
Cheraga
27 Dec
Hussein Dey
2 : 0
Cheraga
12 Dec
Hamra Annaba
0 : 2
Cheraga
29 Mar
Cheraga
0 : 2
MC Alger
18 Feb
Cheraga
2 : 1
Constantine
Page 1 of 6

WM Tebessa

(Away)
21 Dec
Cheraga
2 : 0
WM Tebessa
06 Dec
WM Tebessa
3 : 2
El Bayadh
26 Dec
Cheraga
1 : 0
WM Tebessa
16 Jan
WM Tebessa
0 : 2
WAB Tissemsilt

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Tlemcen 4
Ain Sefra 0
WR Bentalha 1
Magra 0
ES Setif 8
Doucen 1
Saida 3
Skikda 0
Mohammadia SA 0
Hai El Djabel 2
IR Ouled Nail 3
Khenchela 5
Maghnia 0
Bel Abbes 1
Cheraga 1
WM Tebessa 0
Rouisset 0
Hussein Dey 1
ASO Chlef 7
Guelma 0
Ghozlane 2
Khroub 1
MO Bejaia 4
Remchi 3
WA Mostaganem 3
CRB Sfisef 1
Mouzaia 2
USM Setif 0
ISC Tlemcen 1
Bougtob 0
Hamra Annaba 3
NRB Grarem 0
Hamma Loulou 1
MO Constantine 0
CA Batna 2
USB Hassi 0
USM Blida 4
MB Constantine 1
Bejaia 6
Harrach 2
Merouana 0
US Chaouia 1
USM Alger 4
Oran 1
SC Ain Merane 2
Mekhadma 1
MC Alger 5
JSM Tiaret 2
CRB Froha 0
Annaba 3
Sig 0
Eulma 5
Bordj Bou Arreridj 8
CRB Heliopolis 1
Mostaganem 1
MSP Batna 0
JS Djijel 2
CRB Bordj El Kiffan 1
SC Ain Defla 0
CR Belouizdad 2
USMM Hadjout 1
Kabylie 2
ASA Prot. Civil 3
Ouargla 0
1/16-finals
Tlemcen 3
WR Bentalha 1
ES Setif 1
Saida 0
Hai El Djabel 1
Khenchela 2
Bel Abbes 2
Cheraga 1
Hussein Dey 2
ASO Chlef 3
Ghozlane 1
MO Bejaia 0
WA Mostaganem 1
Mouzaia 0
ISC Tlemcen 2
Hamra Annaba 1
Hamma Loulou 1
CA Batna 2
USM Blida 3
Bejaia 2
US Chaouia 1
USM Alger 3
SC Ain Merane 0
MC Alger 1
Annaba 1
Eulma 0
Bordj Bou Arreridj 4
Mostaganem 2
JS Djijel 1
CR Belouizdad 2
Kabylie 4
ASA Prot. Civil 0
1/8-finals
Tlemcen 1
ES Setif 2
Khenchela 1
Bel Abbes 3
ASO Chlef 1
Ghozlane 0
WA Mostaganem 0
ISC Tlemcen 1
CA Batna 1
USM Blida 0
USM Alger 0
MC Alger 3
Annaba 3
Bordj Bou Arreridj 1
CR Belouizdad 0
Kabylie 1
Quarter-finals
ES Setif 1
Bel Abbes 0
ASO Chlef 1
ISC Tlemcen 0
CA Batna 1
MC Alger 0
Annaba 0
Kabylie 1
Semi-finals
ES Setif 3
ASO Chlef 1
CA Batna 1
Kabylie 0
Final
ES Setif 3
CA Batna 0