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Cherbourg vs Viry-Chatillon

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CFA - Group D 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group D 2013/2014 game between Cherbourg and Viry-Chatillon finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Cherbourg
15%
Draws
42%
Viry-Chatillon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cherbourg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cherbourg come out ahead of Viry-Chatillon on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cherbourg a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular CFA - Group D 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Cherbourg Clean Sheet 20%
Viry-Chatillon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherbourg Viry-Chatillon
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2014 National 2 - Group D
Cherbourg vs Viry-Chatillon
1:1
Nov 23, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Viry-Chatillon vs Cherbourg
1:2
Mar 19, 2011 National 2 - Group D
Viry-Chatillon vs Cherbourg
4:1
Sep 25, 2010 National 2 - Group D
Cherbourg vs Viry-Chatillon
0:1
Mar 13, 2010 National 2 - Group D
Viry-Chatillon vs Cherbourg
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherbourg 67 / 100
Viry-Chatillon 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherbourg Viry-Chatillon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cherbourg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherbourg's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Viry-Chatillon has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Cherbourg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cherbourg VS Viry-Chatillon
1 Goals Scored 0.75
4 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherbourg

(Home)
18 Nov
Grand Quevilly
4 : 1
Cherbourg
24 May
Saint-Malo
1 : 2
Cherbourg
17 May
Cherbourg
2 : 0
Nantes II
10 May
Romorantin
0 : 1
Cherbourg
03 May
Cherbourg
0 : 1
Stade Bordelais
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Viry-Chatillon

(Away)
23 Jan
Viry-Chatillon
0 : 6
Caen
05 Jan
Viry-Chatillon
1 : 0
Angers
08 Dec
Viry-Chatillon
4 : 2
Angouleme CFC
17 Nov
Montlucon
0 : 1
Viry-Chatillon
19 May
Borgo
3 : 0
Viry-Chatillon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avranches 30 19 6 5 56:22 93
2 Saint-Malo 30 17 5 8 45:29 86
3 Les Herbiers 30 13 11 6 46:26 80
4 Nantes II 30 13 8 9 31:23 77
5 Trelissac 30 12 8 10 29:26 74
6 Vitre 30 11 9 10 36:39 72
7 Concarneau 30 10 11 9 33:34 71
8 Stade Bordelais 30 11 7 12 29:36 70
9 Bordeaux II 30 9 12 9 33:25 69
10 Pontivy 30 9 9 12 36:39 66
11 Viry-Chatillon 30 7 14 9 27:34 65
12 Romorantin 30 8 10 12 33:36 64
13 Fontenay 30 8 9 13 36:48 63
14 Cherbourg 30 8 9 13 27:43 63
15 Plabennec 30 6 10 14 28:42 58
16 Jeunesse Villenavaise 30 6 8 16 28:51 54
Promotion - National 2014/2015 (Main)