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Cherno More II vs Aksakovo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
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AI Match Summary

Cherno More II in this Third League - North-East matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cherno More II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Cherno More II
20%
Draws
29%
Aksakovo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cherno More II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Cherno More II have won more games recently than Aksakovo.
  • Model gives Cherno More II a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Cherno More II Clean Sheet 20%
Aksakovo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherno More II Aksakovo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2.07 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Aksakovo
3:1
Feb 21, 2026 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs Cherno More II
3:4
Aug 17, 2025 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Aksakovo
2:1
Apr 19, 2025 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs Cherno More II
2:0
Oct 24, 2024 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Aksakovo
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherno More II 85 / 100
Aksakovo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherno More II Aksakovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cherno More II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherno More II scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Aksakovo conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Cherno More II has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cherno More II VS Aksakovo
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherno More II

(Home)
03 Oct
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0
Cherno More II
26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1
Botev Novi Pazar
20 Sept
Cherno More II
2 : 0
Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Cherno More II
3 : 1
Aksakovo
29 Aug
Cherno More II
0 : 1
Chernomorets Balchik
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Aksakovo

(Away)
26 Sept
Aksakovo
3 : 2
Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Cherno More II
3 : 1
Aksakovo
05 Sept
Aksakovo
1 : 4
Chernomorets Balchik
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1
Aksakovo
26 Aug
Ludogorets III
6 : 1
Aksakovo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svetkavitsa 2014 8 5 1 2 14:5 16
2 Ludogorets III 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
3 Volov Shumen 7 5 1 1 24:6 16
4 Chernolomets 7 4 2 1 16:6 14
5 Chernomorets Balchik 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
6 Septemvri Tervel 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
7 Benkovski 5 3 1 1 13:6 10
8 Cherno More II 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
9 Botev Novi Pazar 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
10 FK Riltzi 7 3 0 4 8:15 9
11 Fratria II 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
12 Septemvri Dragoevo 7 2 2 3 12:17 8
13 Devnya 2005 7 2 0 4 8:12 9
14 Olympic Varna 7 2 0 5 15:21 6
15 Aksakovo 6 1 1 4 9:20 4
16 Ustrem Donchevo 8 0 1 7 13:26 1
17 Dorostol 6 0 0 5 2:18 0
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)