Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cherno More II vs Botev Novi Pazar

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cherno More II in this Third League - North-East matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cherno More II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cherno More II
6%
Draws
4%
Botev Novi Pazar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cherno More II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Botev Novi Pazar haven't matched Cherno More II's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Cherno More II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cherno More II have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Cherno More II Clean Sheet 16%
Botev Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherno More II Botev Novi Pazar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Botev Novi Pazar
3:1
Dec 7, 2025 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Cherno More II
1:3
Mar 2, 2025 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Botev Novi Pazar
2:0
Aug 25, 2024 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Cherno More II
2:3
Mar 12, 2023 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Botev Novi Pazar
5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherno More II 84 / 100
Botev Novi Pazar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherno More II Botev Novi Pazar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherno More II found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Botev Novi Pazar has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Cherno More II stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cherno More II VS Botev Novi Pazar
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chernomorets Balchik32274192:1485
2Ludogorets III322543101:1979
3Septemvri Tervel32253489:2278
4Volov Shumen32233693:2872
5Chernolomets32203978:4363
6Benkovski32186868:4060
7Cherno More II32167965:4455
8Ustrem Donchevo321731273:6754
9Olympic Varna321061658:8036
10Aksakovo32941940:6831
11Fratria II32861840:7130
12Svetkavitsa 201432781726:4829
13Botev Novi Pazar32851934:6929
14Dorostol32842029:6728
15Spartak Varna II32752042:7226
16FK Riltzi32642231:8322
17Svetkavitsa3201315:1291