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Cherno More II vs Chernolomets Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Chernolomets in this Third League - North-East 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chernolomets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Cherno More II
20%
Draws
45%
Chernolomets
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chernolomets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Chernolomets have won more games recently than Cherno More II.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Chernolomets taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Cherno More II Clean Sheet 17%
Chernolomets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherno More II Chernolomets
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.14 2.41
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Chernolomets
4:1
Apr 10, 2026 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Chernolomets
1:3
Oct 5, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Cherno More II
3:4
May 17, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Cherno More II
2:1
Nov 17, 2024 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Chernolomets
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherno More II 10 / 100
Chernolomets 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherno More II Chernolomets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernolomets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherno More II found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Cherno More II went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Chernolomets conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cherno More II VS Chernolomets
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherno More II

(Home)
26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1
Botev Novi Pazar
20 Sept
Cherno More II
2 : 0
Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Cherno More II
3 : 1
Aksakovo
29 Aug
Cherno More II
0 : 1
Chernomorets Balchik
26 Aug
Cherno More II
4 : 1
Chernolomets
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Chernolomets

(Away)
26 Sept
Chernolomets
6 : 0
FK Riltzi
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1
Chernolomets
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0
Botev Novi Pazar
05 Sept
Olympic Varna
1 : 3
Chernolomets
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1
Aksakovo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chernomorets Balchik 32 27 4 1 92:14 85
2 Ludogorets III 32 25 4 3 101:19 79
3 Septemvri Tervel 32 25 3 4 89:22 78
4 Volov Shumen 32 23 3 6 93:28 72
5 Chernolomets 32 20 3 9 78:43 63
6 Benkovski 32 18 6 8 68:40 60
7 Cherno More II 32 16 7 9 65:44 55
8 Ustrem Donchevo 32 17 3 12 73:67 54
9 Olympic Varna 32 10 6 16 58:80 36
10 Aksakovo 32 9 4 19 40:68 31
11 Fratria II 32 8 6 18 40:71 30
12 Svetkavitsa 2014 32 7 8 17 26:48 29
13 Botev Novi Pazar 32 8 5 19 34:69 29
14 Dorostol 32 8 4 20 29:67 28
15 Spartak Varna II 32 7 5 20 42:72 26
16 FK Riltzi 32 6 4 22 31:83 22
17 Svetkavitsa 32 0 1 31 5:129 1
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)