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Cherno More II vs FK Riltzi

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Wed, May 6, 2026
3 - 0
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cherno More II host FK Riltzi in the Third League - North-East. Cherno More II go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Cherno More II at 2 goals for, 1.38 against; FK Riltzi at 1 for, 3.63 against. Head-to-head, Cherno More II have won 3 to FK Riltzi's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on May 6, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (2.81 xG vs 1.19) point toward Cherno More II. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cherno More II
6%
Draws
4%
FK Riltzi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cherno More II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cherno More II have won more games recently than FK Riltzi.
  • Cherno More II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Cherno More II Clean Sheet 20%
FK Riltzi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherno More II FK Riltzi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs FK Riltzi
3:0
Oct 18, 2025 Third League - North-East
FK Riltzi vs Cherno More II
2:2
May 31, 2025 Third League - North-East
FK Riltzi vs Cherno More II
3:4
Dec 1, 2024 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs FK Riltzi
3:1
Mar 30, 2024 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs FK Riltzi
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherno More II 85 / 100
FK Riltzi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherno More II FK Riltzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherno More II's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: FK Riltzi conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cherno More II remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cherno More II VS FK Riltzi
2 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherno More II

(Home)
30 May
Cherno More II
3 : 1
Botev Novi Pazar
23 May
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 0
Cherno More II
17 May
Cherno More II
0 : 2
Septemvri Tervel
13 May
Spartak Varna II
0 : 3
Cherno More II
06 May
Cherno More II
3 : 0
FK Riltzi
Page 1 of 6

FK Riltzi

(Away)
30 May
FK Riltzi
2 : 4
Ustrem Donchevo
23 May
Volov Shumen
9 : 0
FK Riltzi
16 May
FK Riltzi
1 : 1
Aksakovo
13 May
Botev Novi Pazar
1 : 0
FK Riltzi
09 May
FK Riltzi
2 : 1
Svetkavitsa 2014
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chernomorets Balchik32274192:1485
2Ludogorets III322543101:1979
3Septemvri Tervel32253489:2278
4Volov Shumen32233693:2872
5Chernolomets32203978:4363
6Benkovski32186868:4060
7Cherno More II32167965:4455
8Ustrem Donchevo321731273:6754
9Olympic Varna321061658:8036
10Aksakovo32941940:6831
11Fratria II32861840:7130
12Svetkavitsa 201432781726:4829
13Botev Novi Pazar32851934:6929
14Dorostol32842029:6728
15Spartak Varna II32752042:7226
16FK Riltzi32642231:8322
17Svetkavitsa3201315:1291
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