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Cherno More II vs Spartak Varna II

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East game between Cherno More II and Spartak Varna II finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cherno More II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cherno More II
6%
Draws
4%
Spartak Varna II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cherno More II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cherno More II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cherno More II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Cherno More II Clean Sheet 16%
Spartak Varna II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherno More II Spartak Varna II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 1.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Third League - North-East
Spartak Varna II vs Cherno More II
0:3
Nov 15, 2025 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Spartak Varna II
3:0
Apr 4, 2025 Third League - North-East
Spartak Varna II vs Cherno More II
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Spartak Varna II
0:0
Mar 12, 2024 Third League - North-East
Spartak Varna II vs Cherno More II
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherno More II 84 / 100
Spartak Varna II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherno More II Spartak Varna II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherno More II's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Spartak Varna II let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Cherno More II remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cherno More II VS Spartak Varna II
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherno More II

(Home)
30 May
Cherno More II
3 : 1
Botev Novi Pazar
23 May
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 0
Cherno More II
17 May
Cherno More II
0 : 2
Septemvri Tervel
13 May
Spartak Varna II
0 : 3
Cherno More II
06 May
Cherno More II
3 : 0
FK Riltzi
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Spartak Varna II

(Away)
30 May
Spartak Varna II
1 : 1
Svetkavitsa 2014
24 May
Septemvri Tervel
4 : 1
Spartak Varna II
13 May
Spartak Varna II
0 : 3
Cherno More II
09 May
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 0
Spartak Varna II
03 May
Spartak Varna II
0 : 0
Fratria II
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chernomorets Balchik32274192:1485
2Ludogorets III322543101:1979
3Septemvri Tervel32253489:2278
4Volov Shumen32233693:2872
5Chernolomets32203978:4363
6Benkovski32186868:4060
7Cherno More II32167965:4455
8Ustrem Donchevo321731273:6754
9Olympic Varna321061658:8036
10Aksakovo32941940:6831
11Fratria II32861840:7130
12Svetkavitsa 201432781726:4829
13Botev Novi Pazar32851934:6929
14Dorostol32842029:6728
15Spartak Varna II32752042:7226
16FK Riltzi32642231:8322
17Svetkavitsa3201315:1291
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