Sport Picks
Cherno More vs Slavia Sofia
Bulgaria
efbet League 2025/2026 Ticha, Varna 
Match Events
11'
11'
Stefanov I.
Assist: Guermouche Y.
42'
42'
Drobarov V.
46'
46'
Sub
Calcan A. In: Zlatev N.
Out: Calcan A.
AI Match Summary
The efbet League 2025/2026 game between Cherno More and Slavia Sofia finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Slavia Sofia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Slavia Sofia carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 15%
Slavia Sofia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cherno More | Slavia Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2026 efbet League
Cherno More vs Slavia Sofia
1:3
Oct 25, 2025 efbet League
Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More
0:0
Mar 29, 2025 efbet League
Cherno More vs Slavia Sofia
1:1
Dec 14, 2024 Bulgarian Cup
Cherno More vs Slavia Sofia
1:0
Oct 4, 2024 efbet League
Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cherno More Compare
Top Goalscorer Panayotov V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Slavia Sofia Compare
Top Goalscorer Stefanov I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Stoev E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cherno More 35 / 100
Slavia Sofia 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cherno More Slavia Sofia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Slavia Sofia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cherno More scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Slavia Sofia has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Cherno More stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cherno More VS Slavia Sofia
1 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Cherno More
(Home) 19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1 Cherno More
11 Sept
Cherno More
2 : 2 Lok. Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0 Cherno More
30 Aug
CSKA Sofia
3 : 1 Cherno More
21 Aug
Cherno More
3 : 1 Dunav Ruse
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Cherno More
2 : 2 Lok. Sofia
21 Aug
Cherno More
3 : 1 Dunav Ruse
09 Aug
Cherno More
2 : 3 Ludogorets
26 Jul
Cherno More
0 : 3 Spartak Varna
11 Jul
Cherno More
1 : 1 Dunav Ruse
Page 1 of 3
Slavia Sofia
(Away) 18 Sept
Slavia Sofia
1 : 2 CSKA 1948 Sofia
13 Sept
Slavia Sofia
0 : 0 Spartak Varna
07 Sept
Dunav Ruse
0 : 1 Slavia Sofia
02 Sept
Slavia Sofia
1 : 2 Levski Sofia
28 Aug
Slavia Sofia
1 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
Dunav Ruse
0 : 1 Slavia Sofia
22 Aug
Ludogorets
1 : 1 Slavia Sofia
10 Aug
Botev Vratsa
0 : 3 Slavia Sofia
24 Jul
Arda
1 : 0 Slavia Sofia
04 Jul
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3 Slavia Sofia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 64:22 | 70 |
| 2 | Ludogorets | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 57:20 | 60 |
| 3 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 50:31 | 59 |
| 4 | CSKA Sofia | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:23 | 56 |
| 5 | Lok. Plovdiv | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 30:33 | 46 |
| 6 | Cherno More | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 33:26 | 44 |
| 7 | Arda | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 33:27 | 44 |
| 8 | Botev Plovdiv | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 9 | Slavia Sofia | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 36:33 | 39 |
| 10 | Botev Vratsa | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 24:26 | 38 |
| 11 | Lok. Sofia | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 40:39 | 37 |
| 12 | Spartak Varna | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 25:50 | 27 |
| 13 | Dobrudzha | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 23:43 | 26 |
| 14 | Septemvri Sofia | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 25:58 | 26 |
| 15 | Beroe | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 19:44 | 23 |
| 16 | Montana | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 15:45 | 17 |
Promotion - efbet League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League 2025/2026 (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
