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Cherno More vs Botev Plovdiv

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League 2025/2026 Ticha, Varna
Cherno More Logo

Cherno More

2 - 0
FT
Botev Plovdiv Logo

Botev Plovdiv

Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Sidney C.
41' Event
Chandarov A.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Lucas Araujo In: Silva E.
Out: Lucas Araujo
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The efbet League 2025/2026 game between Cherno More and Botev Plovdiv finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cherno More.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Cherno More
15%
Draws
51%
Botev Plovdiv
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botev Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Botev Plovdiv come out ahead of Cherno More on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 11%
Botev Plovdiv Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherno More Botev Plovdiv
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 8 3
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More
1:0
May 16, 2026 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More
5:0
May 9, 2026 efbet League
Cherno More vs Botev Plovdiv
2:0
Nov 29, 2025 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More
2:1
Jul 27, 2025 efbet League
Cherno More vs Botev Plovdiv
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherno More 30 / 100
Botev Plovdiv 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherno More Botev Plovdiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherno More's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Botev Plovdiv lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Botev Plovdiv has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cherno More VS Botev Plovdiv
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherno More

(Home)
11 Sept
Cherno More
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
30 Aug
CSKA Sofia
3 : 1
Cherno More
21 Aug
Cherno More
3 : 1
Dunav Ruse
14 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
4 : 1
Cherno More
Page 1 of 6

Botev Plovdiv

(Away)
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
30 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 3
Levski Sofia
24 Aug
Botev Vratsa
1 : 0
Botev Plovdiv
15 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 0
Botev Plovdiv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
5 Lok. Plovdiv 36 14 13 9 36:41 55
6 Arda 36 15 9 12 42:34 54
7 Cherno More 36 14 12 10 40:34 54
8 Botev Plovdiv 36 13 7 16 49:45 46
Promotion - efbet League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)