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Cherno More vs Etar

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Teles D.
33' Event
Padilla J.
90' Event
Mihaylov K.

AI Match Summary

Cherno More in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cherno More.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Cherno More
20%
Draws
50%
Etar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Etar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Etar have won more games recently than Cherno More.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cherno More have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 10%
Etar Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherno More Etar
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.97 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Cherno More vs Etar
3:0
Jan 23, 2026 Club Friendly
Etar vs Cherno More
0:6
Jul 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Cherno More vs Etar
4:1
Dec 2, 2023 efbet League
Etar vs Cherno More
1:2
Aug 4, 2023 efbet League
Cherno More vs Etar
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cherno More Compare

Top Goalscorer Teles D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Padilla J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Etar Compare

Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherno More 30 / 100
Etar 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherno More Etar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Cherno More found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Etar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

Cherno More went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cherno More VS Etar
1 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherno More

(Home)
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
30 Aug
CSKA Sofia
3 : 1
Cherno More
21 Aug
Cherno More
3 : 1
Dunav Ruse
14 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
4 : 1
Cherno More
09 Aug
Cherno More
2 : 3
Ludogorets
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Etar

(Away)
06 Sept
Etar
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
03 Sept
Vihren
4 : 1
Etar
29 Aug
Etar
2 : 2
Beroe
21 Aug
Gorna
2 : 1
Etar
15 Aug
Etar
1 : 1
Rilski Sportist
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