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Cherno More vs Etar

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Teles D.
33' Event
Padilla J.
90' Event
Mihaylov K.

AI Match Summary

Cherno More in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cherno More.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cherno More
33%
Draws
27%
Etar
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Cherno More

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Etar average 1.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Cherno More's 1.13.
  • Model gives Cherno More a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cherno More have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 19%
Etar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherno More Etar
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Cherno More vs Etar
3:0
Jan 23, 2026 Club Friendly
Etar vs Cherno More
0:6
Jul 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Cherno More vs Etar
4:1
Dec 2, 2023 efbet League
Etar vs Cherno More
1:2
Aug 4, 2023 efbet League
Cherno More vs Etar
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cherno More Compare

Top Goalscorer Teles D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Padilla J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Etar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherno More 40 / 100
Etar 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherno More Etar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etar has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Cherno More stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Cherno More scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Cherno More VS Etar
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%