Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chernolomets vs Botev Novi Pazar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East game between Chernolomets and Botev Novi Pazar finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chernolomets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Chernolomets
35%
Draws
12%
Botev Novi Pazar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chernolomets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Chernolomets carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Chernolomets's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chernolomets have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Chernolomets Clean Sheet 16%
Botev Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernolomets Botev Novi Pazar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.41 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.31 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Botev Novi Pazar
4:0
May 2, 2026 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Chernolomets
3:3
Nov 1, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Botev Novi Pazar
3:0
May 31, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Botev Novi Pazar
5:0
Apr 30, 2025 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Chernolomets
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernolomets 39 / 100
Botev Novi Pazar 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernolomets Botev Novi Pazar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernolomets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chernolomets scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Chernolomets remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Botev Novi Pazar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Chernolomets VS Botev Novi Pazar
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernolomets

(Home)
26 Sept
Chernolomets
6 : 0
FK Riltzi
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1
Chernolomets
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0
Botev Novi Pazar
05 Sept
Olympic Varna
1 : 3
Chernolomets
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1
Aksakovo
Page 1 of 6

Botev Novi Pazar

(Away)
03 Oct
Botev Novi Pazar
1 : 4
Vihren
26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1
Botev Novi Pazar
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Chernomorets Balchik
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0
Botev Novi Pazar
05 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Ludogorets III
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svetkavitsa 2014 8 5 1 2 14:5 16
2 Ludogorets III 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
3 Volov Shumen 7 5 1 1 24:6 16
4 Chernolomets 7 4 2 1 16:6 14
5 Chernomorets Balchik 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
6 Septemvri Tervel 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
7 Benkovski 5 3 1 1 13:6 10
8 Cherno More II 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
9 Botev Novi Pazar 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
10 FK Riltzi 7 3 0 4 8:15 9
11 Fratria II 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
12 Septemvri Dragoevo 7 2 2 3 12:17 8
13 Devnya 2005 7 2 0 4 8:12 9
14 Olympic Varna 7 2 0 5 15:21 6
15 Aksakovo 6 1 1 4 9:20 4
16 Ustrem Donchevo 8 0 1 7 13:26 1
17 Dorostol 6 0 0 5 2:18 0
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)