Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chernolomets vs FK Riltzi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2025/2026 game between Chernolomets and FK Riltzi finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chernolomets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Chernolomets
15%
Draws
27%
FK Riltzi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chernolomets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Riltzi haven't matched Chernolomets's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Chernolomets taking it.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Chernolomets have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Chernolomets Clean Sheet 20%
FK Riltzi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernolomets FK Riltzi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 4 2
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 2.41 1
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs FK Riltzi
6:0
Mar 21, 2026 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs FK Riltzi
3:1
Sep 13, 2025 Third League - North-East
FK Riltzi vs Chernolomets
0:2
May 3, 2025 Third League - North-East
FK Riltzi vs Chernolomets
4:3
Nov 3, 2024 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs FK Riltzi
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernolomets 85 / 100
FK Riltzi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernolomets FK Riltzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernolomets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chernolomets's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

FK Riltzi has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Chernolomets went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chernolomets VS FK Riltzi
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernolomets

(Home)
26 Sept
Chernolomets
6 : 0
FK Riltzi
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1
Chernolomets
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0
Botev Novi Pazar
05 Sept
Olympic Varna
1 : 3
Chernolomets
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1
Aksakovo
Page 1 of 6

FK Riltzi

(Away)
26 Sept
Chernolomets
6 : 0
FK Riltzi
19 Sept
FK Riltzi
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
12 Sept
Septemvri Dragoevo
4 : 2
FK Riltzi
05 Sept
FK Riltzi
4 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
30 Aug
Fratria II
0 : 1
FK Riltzi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chernomorets Balchik 32 27 4 1 92:14 85
2 Ludogorets III 32 25 4 3 101:19 79
3 Septemvri Tervel 32 25 3 4 89:22 78
4 Volov Shumen 32 23 3 6 93:28 72
5 Chernolomets 32 20 3 9 78:43 63
6 Benkovski 32 18 6 8 68:40 60
7 Cherno More II 32 16 7 9 65:44 55
8 Ustrem Donchevo 32 17 3 12 73:67 54
9 Olympic Varna 32 10 6 16 58:80 36
10 Aksakovo 32 9 4 19 40:68 31
11 Fratria II 32 8 6 18 40:71 30
12 Svetkavitsa 2014 32 7 8 17 26:48 29
13 Botev Novi Pazar 32 8 5 19 34:69 29
14 Dorostol 32 8 4 20 29:67 28
15 Spartak Varna II 32 7 5 20 42:72 26
16 FK Riltzi 32 6 4 22 31:83 22
17 Svetkavitsa 32 0 1 31 5:129 1
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)