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Chernolomets vs FK Riltzi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East game between Chernolomets and FK Riltzi finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chernolomets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Chernolomets
15%
Draws
27%
FK Riltzi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chernolomets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Riltzi haven't matched Chernolomets's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Chernolomets's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chernolomets have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Chernolomets Clean Sheet 20%
FK Riltzi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernolomets FK Riltzi
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 8
Draws 4 2
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 2.36 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.36 2.82
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs FK Riltzi
6:0
Mar 21, 2026 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs FK Riltzi
3:1
Sep 13, 2025 Third League - North-East
FK Riltzi vs Chernolomets
0:2
May 3, 2025 Third League - North-East
FK Riltzi vs Chernolomets
4:3
Nov 3, 2024 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs FK Riltzi
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernolomets 85 / 100
FK Riltzi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernolomets FK Riltzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernolomets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chernolomets's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

FK Riltzi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Chernolomets remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chernolomets VS FK Riltzi
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernolomets

(Home)
26 Sept
Chernolomets
6 : 0
FK Riltzi
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1
Chernolomets
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0
Botev Novi Pazar
05 Sept
Olympic Varna
1 : 3
Chernolomets
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1
Aksakovo
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FK Riltzi

(Away)
26 Sept
Chernolomets
6 : 0
FK Riltzi
19 Sept
FK Riltzi
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
12 Sept
Septemvri Dragoevo
4 : 2
FK Riltzi
05 Sept
FK Riltzi
4 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
30 Aug
Fratria II
0 : 1
FK Riltzi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svetkavitsa 2014 8 5 1 2 14:5 16
2 Ludogorets III 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
3 Volov Shumen 7 5 1 1 24:6 16
4 Chernolomets 7 4 2 1 16:6 14
5 Chernomorets Balchik 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
6 Septemvri Tervel 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
7 Benkovski 5 3 1 1 13:6 10
8 Cherno More II 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
9 Botev Novi Pazar 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
10 FK Riltzi 7 3 0 4 8:15 9
11 Fratria II 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
12 Septemvri Dragoevo 7 2 2 3 12:17 8
13 Devnya 2005 7 2 0 4 8:12 9
14 Olympic Varna 7 2 0 5 15:21 6
15 Aksakovo 6 1 1 4 9:20 4
16 Ustrem Donchevo 8 0 1 7 13:26 1
17 Dorostol 6 0 0 5 2:18 0
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