Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chernomorets 1919 vs Borislav Parvomay

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2022/2023 game between Chernomorets 1919 and Borislav Parvomay finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chernomorets 1919.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Chernomorets 1919
20%
Draws
6%
Borislav Parvomay
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chernomorets 1919

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chernomorets 1919 come out ahead of Borislav Parvomay on wins alone.
  • Chernomorets 1919 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Chernomorets 1919 Clean Sheet 16%
Borislav Parvomay Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernomorets 1919 Borislav Parvomay
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 21
Goals Scored 1.63 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.94 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2023 Third League - South-East
Chernomorets 1919 vs Borislav Parvomay
3:0
Sep 3, 2022 Third League - South-East
Borislav Parvomay vs Chernomorets 1919
0:5
Mar 26, 2022 Third League - South-East
Borislav Parvomay vs Chernomorets 1919
0:0
Sep 11, 2021 Third League - South-East
Chernomorets 1919 vs Borislav Parvomay
3:2
Apr 10, 2021 Third League - South-East
Chernomorets 1919 vs Borislav Parvomay
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernomorets 1919 84 / 100
Borislav Parvomay 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernomorets 1919 Borislav Parvomay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernomorets 1919 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Borislav Parvomay conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Chernomorets 1919 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Chernomorets 1919 scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Chernomorets 1919 VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernomorets 1919

(Home)
27 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
2 : 0
Montana
20 Sept
Etar
2 : 4
Chernomorets 1919
13 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
07 Sept
Fratria
2 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
02 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
Page 1 of 7

Borislav Parvomay

(Away)
31 May
Borislav Parvomay
0 : 4
Zagorets
27 May
Karnobat
3 : 3
Borislav Parvomay
20 May
Borislav Parvomay
0 : 1
Rozova Dolina
13 May
Vereya
4 : 3
Borislav Parvomay
10 May
Borislav Parvomay
0 : 1
Atletik Kuklen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 38 26 5 7 84:32 83
2 Chernomorets 1919 38 24 8 6 82:26 80
3 Gigant Saedinenie 38 23 9 6 69:28 78
4 Zagorets 38 22 10 6 64:19 76
5 OFC Haskovo 38 20 9 9 68:36 69
6 Rozova Dolina 38 20 8 10 66:29 68
7 Spartak Plovdiv 38 19 8 11 73:43 65
8 Asenovets 38 19 7 12 69:41 64
9 Lok. Plovdiv II 38 20 4 14 57:33 64
10 Yambol 1915 38 16 9 13 57:48 57
11 Rodopa Smolyan 38 16 7 15 51:48 55
12 Dimitrovgrad 38 16 4 18 52:54 52
13 Sokol Markovo 38 15 3 20 54:58 48
14 Levski Karlovo 38 12 6 20 45:69 42
15 Karnobat 38 11 8 19 37:57 41
16 Beroe II 38 11 4 23 45:74 37
17 Atletik Kuklen 38 11 3 24 37:83 36
18 Sliven 38 10 6 22 58:93 36
19 Borislav Parvomay 38 5 6 27 34:92 21
20 Vereya 38 2 0 36 24:163 6
Promotion - Vtora liga 2023/2024 (Main)