Sport Picks
Chernomorets 1919 vs Ludogorets
Bulgaria
Bulgarian Cup 2025/2026 Gradski stadion, Nesebar 
Match Events
9'
9'
Staykov G.
19'
19'
Shishkov S.
60'
60'
Yordanov I.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-3, with Ludogorets advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
30%
32%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chernomorets 1919
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Chernomorets 1919 haven't matched Ludogorets's recent run of results.
- 38% — that's where the model lands on Chernomorets 1919 taking it.
- Ludogorets arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Ludogorets, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Ludogorets have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Chernomorets 1919 Clean Sheet 19%
Ludogorets Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chernomorets 1919 | Ludogorets |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 30, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
Chernomorets 1919 vs Ludogorets
2:3
Oct 30, 2013 efbet League
Chernomorets 1919 vs Ludogorets
0:2
Jul 27, 2013 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Chernomorets 1919
1:0
May 3, 2013 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Chernomorets 1919
3:0
Oct 27, 2012 efbet League
Chernomorets 1919 vs Ludogorets
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chernomorets 1919 Compare
Top Goalscorer Staykov G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Darame J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Ludogorets Compare
Top Goalscorer Shishkov S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Yordanov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chernomorets 1919 49 / 100
Ludogorets 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chernomorets 1919 Ludogorets
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chernomorets 1919 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chernomorets 1919 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Chernomorets 1919 scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Ludogorets let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.
Scoring Trends
Chernomorets 1919 VS Ludogorets
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Chernomorets 1919
(Home) 27 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
2 : 0 Montana
20 Sept
Etar
2 : 4 Chernomorets 1919
13 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
3 : 0 Spartak Pleven
07 Sept
Fratria
2 : 2 Chernomorets 1919
02 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 0 Ludogorets II
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
2 : 0 Montana
13 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
3 : 0 Spartak Pleven
02 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 0 Ludogorets II
17 Aug
Chernomorets 1919
0 : 1 CSKA Sofia II
01 Aug
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 0 Beroe
Page 1 of 3
Ludogorets
(Away) 27 Sept
Ludogorets
3 : 0 Ramnicu Valcea
14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2 Ludogorets
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 Ludogorets
22 Aug
Ludogorets
1 : 1 Slavia Sofia
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2 Ludogorets
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 Ludogorets
09 Aug
Cherno More
2 : 3 Ludogorets
27 Jul
Dunav Ruse
0 : 2 Ludogorets
23 Jul
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2 : 0 Ludogorets
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Bdin Vidin 2
Etar 1
TBD -
Dobrudzha -
Zagorets -
TBD -
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Partizan Cerven Brjag 0
Minyor Pernik 2
TBD -
Cherno More -
Germaneya 0
Fratria 4
TBD -
Arda -
Benkovski 0
Dunav Ruse 4
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Septemvri Tervel 0
Marek 3
TBD -
Montana -
Yambol 1915 2
Vihren 1
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
OFC Haskovo 0
Spartak Pleven 4
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Svoge 4
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
FC Lovech 0
Chernomorets 1919 5
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Pernik 1
Hebar 8
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Bistritsa 2
Gorna 1
TBD -
Beroe -
Chernolomets 2
Sevlievo 4
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Rilski Sportist 2
Belasitsa Petrich 1
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 1
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Kom Berkovitsa 0
Yantra Gabrovo 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
1/16-finals
Bdin Vidin 2
Dobrudzha 7
Zagorets 1
Botev Vratsa 4
Minyor Pernik 0
Cherno More 3
Fratria 1
Arda 2
Dunav Ruse 1
Lok. Plovdiv 2
Marek 1
Montana 4
Yambol 1915 1
Spartak Varna 3
Spartak Pleven 0
Botev Plovdiv 4
Svoge 0
Septemvri Sofia 2
Chernomorets 1919 2
Ludogorets 3
Hebar 0
Levski Sofia 3
Bistritsa 1
Beroe 0
Sevlievo 1
CSKA Sofia 2
Rilski Sportist 2
Lok. Sofia 3
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Slavia Sofia 2
Yantra Gabrovo 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia 4
1/8-finals
Dobrudzha 0
Botev Vratsa 1
Cherno More 0
Arda 3
Lok. Plovdiv 4
Montana 0
Spartak Varna 0
Botev Plovdiv 2
Septemvri Sofia 1
Ludogorets 3
Levski Sofia 3
Bistritsa 0
CSKA Sofia 2
Lok. Sofia 1
Slavia Sofia 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia 3
Quarter-finals
Botev Vratsa 2
Arda 3
Lok. Plovdiv 1
Botev Plovdiv 0
Ludogorets 1
Levski Sofia 0
CSKA Sofia 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia 0
Semi-finals
Arda 1
Lok. Plovdiv 5
Ludogorets 1
CSKA Sofia 2
Final
Lok. Plovdiv 1
CSKA Sofia 2
