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Chernomorets 1919 vs Montana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga efbet Arena, Burgas
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Match Events

20'
Yanchev E.
25' Event
Tsonev M.
45'
Karakashev G.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between Chernomorets 1919 and Montana finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chernomorets 1919.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Chernomorets 1919
15%
Draws
16%
Montana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chernomorets 1919

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Montana haven't matched Chernomorets 1919's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Chernomorets 1919 a 69% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Chernomorets 1919 Clean Sheet 20%
Montana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernomorets 1919 Montana
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.39 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs Montana
2:0
Apr 6, 2024 Vtora liga
Montana vs Chernomorets 1919
2:2
Sep 23, 2023 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs Montana
0:1
Feb 28, 2015 Vtora liga
Montana vs Chernomorets 1919
2:0
Aug 2, 2014 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs Montana
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chernomorets 1919 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsonev M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yoskov V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Montana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernomorets 1919 85 / 100
Montana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernomorets 1919 Montana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernomorets 1919 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Chernomorets 1919 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Chernomorets 1919 scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Montana conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Chernomorets 1919 VS Montana
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernomorets 1919

(Home)
04 Oct
Volov Shumen
0 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
27 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
2 : 0
Montana
20 Sept
Etar
2 : 4
Chernomorets 1919
13 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
07 Sept
Fratria
2 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
Page 1 of 6

Montana

(Away)
04 Oct
Bdin Vidin
0 : 2
Montana
27 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
2 : 0
Montana
21 Sept
Montana
0 : 5
Hebar
13 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
4 : 0
Montana
08 Sept
Montana
1 : 4
Vihren
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 12 7 3 2 25:12 24
2 CSKA Sofia II 11 7 2 2 23:9 23
3 Fratria 12 6 4 2 17:10 22
4 Chernomorets 1919 11 6 3 2 18:8 21
5 Yantra Gabrovo 12 6 1 5 13:11 19
6 Beroe 11 5 3 3 16:12 18
7 Rilski Sportist 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
8 Etar 11 5 2 4 19:19 17
9 Nesebar 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
10 Gorna 11 4 4 3 9:10 16
11 Hebar 11 4 2 5 24:19 14
12 Marek 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
13 Spartak Pleven 11 4 1 6 11:22 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
16 Svoge 11 2 4 5 7:10 10
17 Dobrudzha 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 11 0 0 11 4:33 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)