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Chernomorets 1919 vs Svoge - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga efbet Arena, Burgas
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chernomorets 1919 host Svoge in the Vtora liga. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Svoge have shipped 1.29 goals a game lately, while Chernomorets 1919 have conceded 0.96 and scored 1.39. Head-to-head, Chernomorets 1919 have won 2 to Svoge's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 15, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 0.63) point toward Chernomorets 1919. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Chernomorets 1919
20%
Draws
19%
Svoge
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chernomorets 1919

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Svoge haven't matched Chernomorets 1919's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Chernomorets 1919's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Chernomorets 1919 Clean Sheet 20%
Svoge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernomorets 1919 Svoge
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.39 0.71
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs Svoge
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Chernomorets 1919
0:1
May 18, 2024 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Chernomorets 1919
1:0
Nov 3, 2023 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs Svoge
1:2
Mar 20, 2010 efbet League
Svoge vs Chernomorets 1919
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernomorets 1919 85 / 100
Svoge 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernomorets 1919 Svoge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernomorets 1919 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Chernomorets 1919 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Chernomorets 1919's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Svoge's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Difficult form: Svoge registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chernomorets 1919 VS Svoge
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernomorets 1919

(Home)
04 Oct
Volov Shumen
0 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
27 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
2 : 0
Montana
20 Sept
Etar
2 : 4
Chernomorets 1919
13 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
07 Sept
Fratria
2 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
Page 1 of 6

Svoge

(Away)
04 Oct
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 1
Svoge
27 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
1 : 0
Svoge
21 Sept
Svoge
3 : 2
Vihren
13 Sept
Beroe
1 : 0
Svoge
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0
Gorna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 12 7 3 2 25:12 24
2 CSKA Sofia II 11 7 2 2 23:9 23
3 Fratria 12 6 4 2 17:10 22
4 Chernomorets 1919 11 6 3 2 18:8 21
5 Yantra Gabrovo 12 6 1 5 13:11 19
6 Beroe 11 5 3 3 16:12 18
7 Rilski Sportist 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
8 Etar 11 5 2 4 19:19 17
9 Nesebar 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
10 Gorna 11 4 4 3 9:10 16
11 Hebar 11 4 2 5 24:19 14
12 Marek 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
13 Spartak Pleven 11 4 1 6 11:22 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
16 Svoge 11 2 4 5 7:10 10
17 Dobrudzha 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 11 0 0 11 4:33 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)