Sport Picks
Chernomorets Balchik vs Aksakovo
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East 2025/2026 Balchik Stadium, Balchik 
AI Match Summary
Chernomorets Balchik in this Third League - North-East 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chernomorets Balchik.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chernomorets Balchik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Chernomorets Balchik lately — more wins on the board than Aksakovo.
- Chernomorets Balchik are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Chernomorets Balchik have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Chernomorets Balchik Clean Sheet 20%
Aksakovo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chernomorets Balchik | Aksakovo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 23 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 1 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.55 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.52 | 2.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs Chernomorets Balchik
1:4
May 30, 2026 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Aksakovo
3:0
Dec 6, 2025 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs Chernomorets Balchik
0:3
Mar 1, 2025 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs Chernomorets Balchik
0:3
Sep 11, 2024 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Aksakovo
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chernomorets Balchik 85 / 100
Aksakovo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chernomorets Balchik Aksakovo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chernomorets Balchik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chernomorets Balchik found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).
Aksakovo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Chernomorets Balchik stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chernomorets Balchik VS Aksakovo
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Chernomorets Balchik
(Home) 03 Oct
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 3 Etar
26 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
1 : 0 Svetkavitsa 2014
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Chernomorets Balchik
12 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
4 : 3 Olympic Varna
05 Sept
Aksakovo
1 : 4 Chernomorets Balchik
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 3 Etar
26 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
1 : 0 Svetkavitsa 2014
12 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
4 : 3 Olympic Varna
30 May
Chernomorets Balchik
3 : 0 Aksakovo
16 May
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 0 Svetkavitsa 2014
Page 1 of 3
Aksakovo
(Away) 26 Sept
Aksakovo
3 : 2 Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Cherno More II
3 : 1 Aksakovo
05 Sept
Aksakovo
1 : 4 Chernomorets Balchik
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1 Aksakovo
26 Aug
Ludogorets III
6 : 1 Aksakovo
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Cherno More II
3 : 1 Aksakovo
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1 Aksakovo
26 Aug
Ludogorets III
6 : 1 Aksakovo
22 Aug
Septemvri Dragoevo
4 : 2 Aksakovo
30 May
Chernomorets Balchik
3 : 0 Aksakovo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chernomorets Balchik | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 92:14 | 85 |
| 2 | Ludogorets III | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 101:19 | 79 |
| 3 | Septemvri Tervel | 32 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 89:22 | 78 |
| 4 | Volov Shumen | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 93:28 | 72 |
| 5 | Chernolomets | 32 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 78:43 | 63 |
| 6 | Benkovski | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 68:40 | 60 |
| 7 | Cherno More II | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 65:44 | 55 |
| 8 | Ustrem Donchevo | 32 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 73:67 | 54 |
| 9 | Olympic Varna | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 58:80 | 36 |
| 10 | Aksakovo | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 40:68 | 31 |
| 11 | Fratria II | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 40:71 | 30 |
| 12 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26:48 | 29 |
| 13 | Botev Novi Pazar | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34:69 | 29 |
| 14 | Dorostol | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 29:67 | 28 |
| 15 | Spartak Varna II | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 42:72 | 26 |
| 16 | FK Riltzi | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 31:83 | 22 |
| 17 | Svetkavitsa | 32 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 5:129 | 1 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)
