Sport Picks
Chernomorets Balchik vs Botev Novi Pazar
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East Balchik Stadium, Balchik 
AI Match Summary
Chernomorets Balchik in this Third League - North-East matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chernomorets Balchik.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chernomorets Balchik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Chernomorets Balchik lately — more wins on the board than Botev Novi Pazar.
- Chernomorets Balchik are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Chernomorets Balchik have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Chernomorets Balchik Clean Sheet 20%
Botev Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chernomorets Balchik | Botev Novi Pazar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 25 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 1 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 3 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.25 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.00 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.25 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Chernomorets Balchik
0:4
Nov 29, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Botev Novi Pazar
4:0
Apr 27, 2025 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Chernomorets Balchik
0:3
Oct 20, 2024 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Botev Novi Pazar
2:0
Mar 5, 2023 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Chernomorets Balchik
0:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chernomorets Balchik 85 / 100
Botev Novi Pazar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chernomorets Balchik Botev Novi Pazar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chernomorets Balchik's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Botev Novi Pazar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Solid form: Chernomorets Balchik remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Chernomorets Balchik VS Botev Novi Pazar
3 Goals Scored 1.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Chernomorets Balchik
(Home) 30 May
Chernomorets Balchik
3 : 0 Aksakovo
23 May
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 4 Chernomorets Balchik
16 May
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 0 Svetkavitsa 2014
13 May
Septemvri Tervel
0 : 1 Chernomorets Balchik
09 May
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 0 Spartak Varna II
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30 May
Chernomorets Balchik
3 : 0 Aksakovo
16 May
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 0 Svetkavitsa 2014
09 May
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 0 Spartak Varna II
22 Apr
Chernomorets Balchik
3 : 0 Fratria II
11 Apr
Chernomorets Balchik
3 : 1 Benkovski
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Botev Novi Pazar
(Away) 30 May
Cherno More II
3 : 1 Botev Novi Pazar
23 May
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 4 Chernomorets Balchik
16 May
Fratria II
3 : 2 Botev Novi Pazar
13 May
Botev Novi Pazar
1 : 0 FK Riltzi
09 May
Benkovski
4 : 1 Botev Novi Pazar
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30 May
Cherno More II
3 : 1 Botev Novi Pazar
16 May
Fratria II
3 : 2 Botev Novi Pazar
09 May
Benkovski
4 : 1 Botev Novi Pazar
25 Apr
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3 Botev Novi Pazar
15 Apr
Dorostol
0 : 2 Botev Novi Pazar
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chernomorets Balchik | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 92:14 | 85 |
| 2 | Ludogorets III | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 101:19 | 79 |
| 3 | Septemvri Tervel | 32 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 89:22 | 78 |
| 4 | Volov Shumen | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 93:28 | 72 |
| 5 | Chernolomets | 32 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 78:43 | 63 |
| 6 | Benkovski | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 68:40 | 60 |
| 7 | Cherno More II | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 65:44 | 55 |
| 8 | Ustrem Donchevo | 32 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 73:67 | 54 |
| 9 | Olympic Varna | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 58:80 | 36 |
| 10 | Aksakovo | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 40:68 | 31 |
| 11 | Fratria II | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 40:71 | 30 |
| 12 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26:48 | 29 |
| 13 | Botev Novi Pazar | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34:69 | 29 |
| 14 | Dorostol | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 29:67 | 28 |
| 15 | Spartak Varna II | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 42:72 | 26 |
| 16 | FK Riltzi | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 31:83 | 22 |
| 17 | Svetkavitsa | 32 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 5:129 | 1 |
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