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Chernomorets Balchik vs Dunav Ruse II Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2024/2025 Balchik Stadium, Balchik
Sun, Oct 20, 2024
VS
01:00 PM
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AI Match Summary

Chernomorets Balchik host Dunav Ruse II in the Third League - North-East 2024/2025. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Chernomorets Balchik have averaged 2.7 scored and 0.55 conceded recently, against Dunav Ruse II's 1.29 scored and 2.86 conceded. Past meetings favor Chernomorets Balchik slightly — 2-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 20, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (2.35 - 0.69) back Chernomorets Balchik to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Chernomorets Balchik
15%
Draws
20%
Dunav Ruse II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chernomorets Balchik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chernomorets Balchik come out ahead of Dunav Ruse II on wins alone.
  • Model gives Chernomorets Balchik a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Chernomorets Balchik here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Chernomorets Balchik Clean Sheet 20%
Dunav Ruse II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernomorets Balchik Dunav Ruse II
Matches Played 33 14
Wins 26 2
Draws 6 3
Losses 1 9
Goals Scored 2.7 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.55 2.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.35 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2024 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Dunav Ruse II
0:0
Feb 26, 2023 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Dunav Ruse II
4:0
Aug 21, 2022 Third League - North-East
Dunav Ruse II vs Chernomorets Balchik
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernomorets Balchik 58 / 100
Dunav Ruse II 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernomorets Balchik Dunav Ruse II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernomorets Balchik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chernomorets Balchik scored in 94% of their last 33 games.

Dunav Ruse II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 14 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Chernomorets Balchik went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chernomorets Balchik VS -
3.5 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernomorets Balchik

(Home)
03 Oct
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 3
Etar
26 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
1 : 0
Svetkavitsa 2014
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Chernomorets Balchik
12 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
4 : 3
Olympic Varna
05 Sept
Aksakovo
1 : 4
Chernomorets Balchik
Page 1 of 7

Dunav Ruse II

(Away)
29 May
Dunav Ruse II
0 : 3
Spartak Varna II
25 May
Cherno More II
3 : 0
Dunav Ruse II
11 May
Svetkavitsa
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse II
01 May
Dorostol
2 : 0
Dunav Ruse II
28 Apr
Dunav Ruse II
6 : 0
Kubrat
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Septemvri Tervel 30 24 3 3 73:18 75
2 Chernolomets 30 22 3 5 69:25 69
3 Volov Shumen 30 21 3 6 66:26 66
4 Chernomorets Balchik 30 18 7 5 52:16 61
5 Ludogorets III 30 18 6 6 72:21 60
6 Cherno More II 30 14 7 9 42:31 49
7 Spartak Varna II 30 12 9 9 49:29 45
8 Aksakovo 30 12 6 12 50:48 42
9 Dorostol 30 11 7 12 36:36 40
10 Benkovski 30 11 6 13 55:46 39
11 FK Riltzi 30 7 10 13 47:54 31
12 Ustrem Donchevo 30 8 7 15 38:68 31
13 Svetkavitsa 30 6 6 18 31:66 24
14 Botev Novi Pazar 30 6 4 20 29:68 22
15 Fratria II 30 6 3 21 32:88 21
16 Kubrat 30 0 1 29 11:112 1
17 Dunav Ruse II 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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