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Chernomorets Burgas Sofia vs Maritsa Plovdiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Third League - South-East 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
15%
Draws
21%
Maritsa Plovdiv
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chernomorets Burgas Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maritsa Plovdiv lately — more wins on the board than Chernomorets Burgas Sofia.
  • Win probability leans Chernomorets Burgas Sofia's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia Clean Sheet 16%
Maritsa Plovdiv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernomorets Burgas Sofia Maritsa Plovdiv
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 1 7
Losses 24 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1.67
Goals Conceded 3.13 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2016 Third League - South-East
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia vs Maritsa Plovdiv
0:0
Sep 12, 2015 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernomorets Burgas Sofia 36 / 100
Maritsa Plovdiv 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia Maritsa Plovdiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maritsa Plovdiv has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Maritsa Plovdiv lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Chernomorets Burgas Sofia's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Chernomorets Burgas Sofia VS Maritsa Plovdiv
0 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernomorets Burgas Sofia

(Home)
08 Jul
Ludogorets II
2 : 0
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
13 Jul
Gorna
1 : 0
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
09 Jul
Cherno More
2 : 0
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
28 Jun
Dobrudzha
3 : 1
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
20 Jul
Sozopol
0 : 2
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
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Maritsa Plovdiv

(Away)
03 Oct
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 0
Maritsa Plovdiv
26 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
1 : 2
Levski Karlovo
19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3
Maritsa Plovdiv
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2
Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 1
Gigant Saedinenie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 34 29 3 2 88:20 90
2 Rozova Dolina 34 24 4 6 81:30 76
3 Zagorets 33 22 6 5 64:20 72
4 Uragan Boyadzhik 34 20 4 10 93:45 64
5 Dimitrovgrad 34 18 8 8 61:38 62
6 Gigant Saedinenie 34 18 4 12 67:58 58
7 Svilengrad 1921 33 17 5 11 72:53 56
8 Asenovets 34 15 8 11 57:46 53
9 Maritsa Plovdiv 34 14 9 11 45:29 51
10 Evrokolezh 34 14 4 16 69:74 46
11 Karnobat 34 13 4 17 56:56 43
12 Spartak Plovdiv 34 12 6 16 36:38 42
13 Levski Karlovo 34 11 2 21 43:75 35
14 Rakovski 2011 34 10 4 20 45:68 34
15 Borislav Parvomay 34 6 11 17 34:59 29
16 Radnevo 34 8 3 23 32:84 27
17 Chernomorets Burgas Sofia 34 6 4 24 42:100 22
18 Sliven 34 3 1 30 20:112 10
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