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Chertsey Town vs Evesham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chertsey Town host Evesham in the Southern League Premier South. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Evesham have shipped 1.71 goals a game lately, while Chertsey Town have conceded 1.48 and scored 2.16. Head-to-head, Chertsey Town have won 1 to Evesham's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.00) point toward Chertsey Town. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Chertsey Town
20%
Draws
34%
Evesham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chertsey Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Chertsey Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Chertsey Town Clean Sheet 20%
Evesham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chertsey Town Evesham
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 18 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.16 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Evesham vs Chertsey Town
1:1
Nov 15, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Evesham
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chertsey Town 31 / 100
Evesham 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chertsey Town Evesham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chertsey Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chertsey Town scored in 97% of their last 31 outings.

Evesham let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Chertsey Town has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chertsey Town VS Evesham
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chertsey Town

(Home)
10 Oct
Chertsey Town
2 : 2
Chippenham Town
03 Oct
Sheppey United
0 : 2
Chertsey Town
29 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 3
Poole Town
26 Sept
Welling
2 : 3
Chertsey Town
22 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 2
Chertsey Town
Page 1 of 7

Evesham

(Away)
10 Oct
Uxbridge
1 : 0
Evesham
03 Oct
Poole Town
3 : 1
Evesham
29 Sept
Evesham
2 : 0
Chippenham Town
26 Sept
Evesham
3 : 1
Stratford
19 Sept
Redditch
3 : 0
Evesham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 11 8 0 3 18:12 24
2 Uxbridge 10 7 2 1 20:8 23
3 Plymouth Parkway 10 6 2 2 24:11 20
4 Hanworth Villa 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
5 Bath City 10 5 2 3 14:10 17
6 Frome Town 11 4 4 3 18:14 16
7 Chichester City 10 5 1 4 17:17 16
8 Berkhamsted Town 11 5 1 5 14:14 16
9 Wimborne 9 4 3 2 16:7 15
10 Chertsey Town 10 4 3 3 22:17 15
11 Gosport Borough 11 4 3 4 15:14 15
12 Taunton Town 10 4 1 5 24:24 13
13 Evesham 10 4 1 5 14:18 13
14 Basingstoke 10 3 3 4 18:17 12
15 Yate 10 3 3 4 13:21 12
16 Sholing 9 3 2 4 10:13 11
17 Bracknell Town 10 3 2 5 11:19 11
18 Hanwell Town 9 2 4 3 9:11 10
19 Gloucester City 10 2 4 4 15:18 10
20 Chippenham Town 9 2 2 5 9:18 8
21 Havant & Waterlooville 10 1 2 7 12:22 5
22 Malvern Town 10 1 2 7 14:29 5
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
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Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)