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Chertsey Town vs Frome Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Ferris A.
60' Event
Duru D.
90' Event
Byrd L.

AI Match Summary

Frome Town in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Frome Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Chertsey Town
35%
Draws
28%
Frome Town
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chertsey Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chertsey Town lately — more wins on the board than Frome Town.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Chertsey Town Clean Sheet 18%
Frome Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chertsey Town Frome Town
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 16 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.15 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Frome Town
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Frome Town vs Chertsey Town
0:1
Aug 24, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Frome Town
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chertsey Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Byrd L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Frome Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferris A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Duru D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chertsey Town 31 / 100
Frome Town 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chertsey Town Frome Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chertsey Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chertsey Town scored in 96% of their last 27 games.

Frome Town let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Chertsey Town has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chertsey Town VS Frome Town
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chertsey Town

(Home)
10 Oct
Chertsey Town
2 : 2
Chippenham Town
03 Oct
Sheppey United
0 : 2
Chertsey Town
29 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 3
Poole Town
26 Sept
Welling
2 : 3
Chertsey Town
22 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 2
Chertsey Town
Page 1 of 6

Frome Town

(Away)
10 Oct
Frome Town
1 : 1
Sholing
03 Oct
Yate
3 : 3
Frome Town
30 Sept
Frome Town
2 : 2
Taunton Town
26 Sept
Frome Town
2 : 1
Willand Rovers
22 Sept
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 0
Frome Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 11 8 0 3 18:12 24
2 Uxbridge 10 7 2 1 20:8 23
3 Plymouth Parkway 10 6 2 2 24:11 20
4 Hanworth Villa 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
5 Bath City 10 5 2 3 14:10 17
6 Frome Town 11 4 4 3 18:14 16
7 Chichester City 10 5 1 4 17:17 16
8 Berkhamsted Town 11 5 1 5 14:14 16
9 Wimborne 9 4 3 2 16:7 15
10 Chertsey Town 10 4 3 3 22:17 15
11 Gosport Borough 11 4 3 4 15:14 15
12 Taunton Town 10 4 1 5 24:24 13
13 Evesham 10 4 1 5 14:18 13
14 Basingstoke 10 3 3 4 18:17 12
15 Yate 10 3 3 4 13:21 12
16 Sholing 9 3 2 4 10:13 11
17 Bracknell Town 10 3 2 5 11:19 11
18 Hanwell Town 9 2 4 3 9:11 10
19 Gloucester City 10 2 4 4 15:18 10
20 Chippenham Town 9 2 2 5 9:18 8
21 Havant & Waterlooville 10 1 2 7 12:22 5
22 Malvern Town 10 1 2 7 14:29 5
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)