Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Gonzalez-Birchall D.
35'
35'
Minhas N.
50'
50'
Taylor A.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 game between Chertsey Town and Yate finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chertsey Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Yate haven't matched Chertsey Town's recent run of results.
- Model gives Chertsey Town a 52% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Chertsey Town Clean Sheet 18%
Yate Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chertsey Town | Yate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 26 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.96 | 1.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Yate
1:1
Apr 3, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Yate
2:2
Aug 23, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Yate vs Chertsey Town
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chertsey Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Minhas N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Wilson B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Yate Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez-Birchall D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Taylor A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chertsey Town 58 / 100
Yate 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chertsey Town Yate
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chertsey Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chertsey Town found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (26 games).
Chertsey Town has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Yate conceded in 77% of 26 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Chertsey Town VS Yate
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Chertsey Town
(Home) 26 Sept
Welling
2 : 3 Chertsey Town
22 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 2 Chertsey Town
19 Sept
Chertsey Town
3 : 2 A.F.C. Greenwich Borough
12 Sept
Chertsey Town
5 : 0 Malvern Town
07 Sept
Carshalton
1 : 2 Chertsey Town
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Chertsey Town
3 : 2 A.F.C. Greenwich Borough
12 Sept
Chertsey Town
5 : 0 Malvern Town
05 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 1 Carshalton
29 Aug
Chertsey Town
1 : 2 Frome Town
15 Aug
Chertsey Town
1 : 1 Yate
Page 1 of 3
Yate
(Away) 26 Sept
Yate
0 : 1 Sholing
22 Sept
Chippenham Town
2 : 1 Yate
18 Sept
Yate
0 : 0 Chippenham Town
12 Sept
Hanworth Villa
2 : 3 Yate
05 Sept
Yate
3 : 0 Devizes Town
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Chippenham Town
2 : 1 Yate
12 Sept
Hanworth Villa
2 : 3 Yate
29 Aug
Poole Town
2 : 1 Yate
15 Aug
Chertsey Town
1 : 1 Yate
11 Aug
Chippenham Town
1 : 1 Yate
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walton & Hersham | 42 | 29 | 5 | 8 | 94:42 | 92 |
| 2 | Farnham | 42 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 90:50 | 84 |
| 3 | Gloucester City | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 93:51 | 82 |
| 4 | Poole Town | 42 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 80:50 | 75 |
| 5 | Berkhamsted Town | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 62:50 | 72 |
| 6 | Sholing | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 74:53 | 69 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 64:55 | 67 |
| 8 | Gosport Borough | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 74:75 | 63 |
| 9 | Uxbridge | 42 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 74:70 | 59 |
| 10 | Havant & Waterlooville | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 78:70 | 58 |
| 11 | Plymouth Parkway | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 64:79 | 56 |
| 12 | Bracknell Town | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 70:71 | 55 |
| 13 | Yate | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:62 | 52 |
| 14 | Hanwell Town | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:63 | 52 |
| 15 | Wimborne | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 63:62 | 51 |
| 16 | Taunton Town | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 65:70 | 51 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 61:71 | 51 |
| 18 | Evesham | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 51:62 | 47 |
| 19 | Weymouth | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 53:71 | 47 |
| 20 | Dorchester | 42 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 48:79 | 40 |
| 21 | Hungerford | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 47:87 | 38 |
| 22 | Tiverton | 42 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 39:115 | 18 |
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
