Sport Picks
Match Events
55'
55'
Streeter E.
62'
62'
Lodge A.
73'
73'
Zebroski C.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier South game between Chertsey Town and Yate finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chertsey Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Chertsey Town come out ahead of Yate on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Chertsey Town's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Chertsey Town Clean Sheet 15%
Yate Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chertsey Town | Yate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 26 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.04 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Yate
1:1
Apr 3, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Yate
2:2
Aug 23, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Yate vs Chertsey Town
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chertsey Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Lodge A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Yate Compare
Top Goalscorer Zebroski C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chertsey Town 48 / 100
Yate 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chertsey Town Yate
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chertsey Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Chertsey Town scored in 89% of their last 27 outings.
Yate has conceded goals in 77% of their last 26 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Chertsey Town went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chertsey Town VS Yate
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Chertsey Town
(Home) 19 Sept
Chertsey Town
3 : 2 A.F.C. Greenwich Borough
12 Sept
Chertsey Town
5 : 0 Malvern Town
07 Sept
Carshalton
1 : 2 Chertsey Town
05 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 1 Carshalton
31 Aug
Hanworth Villa
4 : 1 Chertsey Town
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Chertsey Town
3 : 2 A.F.C. Greenwich Borough
12 Sept
Chertsey Town
5 : 0 Malvern Town
05 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 1 Carshalton
29 Aug
Chertsey Town
1 : 2 Frome Town
15 Aug
Chertsey Town
1 : 1 Yate
Page 1 of 4
Yate
(Away) 18 Sept
Yate
0 : 0 Chippenham Town
12 Sept
Hanworth Villa
2 : 3 Yate
05 Sept
Yate
3 : 0 Devizes Town
31 Aug
Yate
1 : 4 Taunton Town
29 Aug
Poole Town
2 : 1 Yate
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Hanworth Villa
2 : 3 Yate
29 Aug
Poole Town
2 : 1 Yate
15 Aug
Chertsey Town
1 : 1 Yate
11 Aug
Chippenham Town
1 : 1 Yate
01 Aug
Leamington
3 : 1 Yate
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uxbridge | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 17 |
| 2 | Plymouth Parkway | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 20:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Chertsey Town | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Hanworth Villa | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:6 | 13 |
| 5 | Frome Town | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 6 | Berkhamsted Town | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 7 | Taunton Town | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20:17 | 12 |
| 8 | Chichester City | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:12 | 12 |
| 9 | Poole Town | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | 12 |
| 10 | Gosport Borough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 11 | Bath City | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 11 |
| 12 | Yate | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | 11 |
| 13 | Evesham | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 14 | Bracknell Town | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:17 | 10 |
| 15 | Wimborne | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 16 | Basingstoke | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | 9 |
| 17 | Sholing | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 18 | Chippenham Town | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:14 | 7 |
| 19 | Gloucester City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 6 |
| 20 | Hanwell Town | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 21 | Havant & Waterlooville | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | 4 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7:21 | 2 |
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
